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Power Rankings

2025 MLS Power Rankings averages, week 4

19 sites published for Week 4.

2025 MLS Power Rankings averages, week 4
Kreg Asay
March 22, 2025

Up to 19 sites for the 4th week of 2025. One of the monthly sites from last year updated, and I’ve started culling the remaining sites.

A reminder of what Power Rankings should be (not that every site does, of course):

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"

— Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. March 11, 2014.

Sites Used

  • Jeff Sagarin - not started yet
  • Who Scored
  • ESPN
  • Massey
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  • Sonny Moore Rankings
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  • MLS
  • Simmons Ratings
  • D-Ratings
  • NER Discord
  • Versus Sports Simulator
  • Broadway Sports - not started yet
  • CONCACAF Club Rankings
  • The Guardian - not started yet
  • Tom Bogert - not started yet
  • Goal.com
  • GOLZ TV
  • 3rd Degree
  • The Analyst (OPTA)
  • SofaScore
  • Sports Illustrated
  • FotMob
  • American Soccer Analyst - Xpts

    • You may notice the inclusion of 'analytic' sites; they serve to function as a 'control group' to others which are based on opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are 'prediction rankings' - but that also is a form of Power Ranking (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team's likely final position.

    Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it. Bias ratings for every site are listed below.

    I will typically only remove sites for three reasons.

    1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
    2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.
    3. Consistently rating far above/below the average. A 1-2 week high/low skew may be normal depending on game results, but going several weeks 5+ ranks from normal for several teams would either show serious bias or algorithm errors.

    All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

    The full spreadsheet with all the data is here.

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/ADGkv/5/

    • Best Rise: Charlotte, Colorado up 6
    • Greatest Fall: Cincinnati down 6
    • Most accurate site (exact match with avg): MLS (9)
    • Least accurate site (most off by +7): CONCACAF (10)

    AVERAGE WEEKLY POSITION

    Hover over any line to highlight history.

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/6aGCE/4/

    BIAS RATINGS

    No site can be perfectly on average all the time, every site will naturally have a bias for or against all teams.

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/NSJEZ/1/

    BREAKDOWN BY SITE The most and least bias by site.

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/McTam/4/

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