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Real Salt LakePower Rankings

2024 MLS Power Rankings averages, week 18

13 sites published for week 18. Colorado continues to rise, Philadelphia sags.

2024 MLS Power Rankings averages, week 18
Kreg Asay
June 28, 2024

13 sites published power rankings for week 18.

A reminder of what Power Rankings should be (not that every site does, of course):

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"

— Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. March 11, 2014.

Sites Used

  • Jeff Sagarin
  • Who Scored
  • ESPN
  • Massey
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  • [Betting Odds] (multiple sites, see spreadsheet)
  • MLS
  • Simmons Ratings
  • D-Ratings
  • NER Discord
  • Versus Sports Simulator
  • Broadway Sports
  • CONCACAF Club Rankings
  • The Guardian - 2x per month
  • Tom Bogert - monthly
  • Goal.com - 2x per month
  • GOLZ TV - Monthly
  • You may notice the inclusion of 'analytic' sites; they serve to function as a 'control group' to others which are based on opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are 'prediction rankings' - but that also is a form of Power Ranking (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team's likely final position.

    Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it. Bias ratings for every site are listed below.

    I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.

    1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
    2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.

    All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

    The full spreadsheet is here.

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/rBCGr/18/

    • Highest Standard Deviation: Orlando 6.33
    • Lowest Standard Deviation: San Jose 0.63
    • Biggest Rise: Colorado up 5
    • Biggest Fall: Philadelphia down 6

    AVERAGE WEEKLY POSITION

    Hover over any line to highlight history.

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/9toqE/18/

    BIAS RATINGS

    No site can be perfectly on average all the time, every site will naturally have a bias for or against all teams.

    2024 Average Bias

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/fvAHm/18/

    2024 Point Totals Possible final point totals given current home and away points per game.

    https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/UaeQA/9/

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