Wasatch Soccer Sentinel

The list of sites to use continues to grow with 14 sites publishing for week 1, but several sites that published preseason rankings didn’t follow up. There are some new additions from last year’s list. There have been 4 additions to the preseason rankings to totals have been changed.

Sites Used

• Jeff Sagarin
• Five Thirty Eight (Proj. points)
• Who Scored
• ESPN
• Massey
• Sonny Moore Rankings
• MLS
• MLS Fantasy Boss - No ranking wk 1.
• Sports Club Stats
• Broadway Sports - No ranking wk 1.
• Coach & Crew
• Betting Odds
• Waking the Red - No ranking wk 1.
• Gamblingsites.com - No ranking wk 1.
• Verses Sports Simulator
• Simmons Ratings
• US Soccer Players
• Boston Sports Wave - No ranking wk 1.
• Soccer By Ives - (preseason free, wk 1 behind paywall)

You may notice the inclusion of ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a ‘control group’ to the rest which are based on personal opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it.

I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.

1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.

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All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

Place	Team	Wk 33	Wk 34	Wk Best	Wk Worst	Std. Dev	2022 Avg	5-yr avg
21	Atlanta United FC	20.67	20.86	10	25	4.46	17.6	11.0832
5	Austin FC	5.22	6.14	5	17	4.02	7.2	12.992
23	Charlotte FC	20	21.71	16	27	3.61	22.8	14.784
24	Chicago Fire	23.56	22.71	17	24	2.17	20.7	19.678
10	Cincinnati (FC)	11.11	9.57	7	13	1.87	17.5	19.634
18	Colorado Rapids	20.44	18.71	14	22	2.65	16	15.666
12	Columbus Crew SC	8.89	12.71	4	16	3.76	11.3	10.859
28	D.C. United	28	28	28	28	0	24.5	17.176
6	Dallas (FC)	5.89	6.29	4	16	3.82	8.5	11.1342
26	Houston Dynamo	24.56	25.43	24	27	0.88	22	17.22
15	Inter Miami CF	14	15.14	11	21	3.91	21.3	17.622
9	L.A. Galaxy	10.33	8.57	6	12	2.06	9.8	11.408
2	Los Angeles FC	1.56	1.71	1	3	0.67	2	5.5268
11	Minnesota United FC	15.22	12.14	7	17	2.93	11	12.076
3	Montreal (CF)	3	3	2	12	3.06	10.2	14.52
7	Nashville SC	8.11	6.86	4	10	1.96	8.7	11.874
17	New England Revolution	20	18.29	6	23	4.77	14.7	12.164
4	New York City FC	6.33	4.86	3	10	2.11	6.6	6.5156
8	New York RB	7.11	7.29	5	10	1.58	6.4	9.5228
16	Orlando City SC	14.11	15.86	13	23	3.87	13.5	13.312
1	Philadelphia Union	1.44	1.29	1	2	0.5	2.5	6.902
14	Portland Timbers	11.67	14	7	16	2.79	13.8	11.134
13	Real Salt Lake	14.44	13	9	15	1.79	10.8	13.31
25	San Jose Earthquakes	25	24.43	19	26	2.65	23.8	18.838
19	Seattle Sounders FC	19.44	19.43	12	23	3.91	13.9	7.384
22	Sporting Kansas City	20.22	21.14	16	26	3.14	23.5	10.9248
27	Toronto FC	25.67	26.43	20	27	2.54	21.7	14.724
20	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	18.56	20.14	16	25	3.49	22.6	19.364

• Highest Standard Deviation: Austin FC 9.29
• Lowest Standard Deviation: Cincinnati FC 1.09
• Biggest Rise: TBD wk 2
• Biggest Fall: TBD wk 2

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Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

Site Bias will start on Wk 2.