Wasatch Soccer SentinelWho knows what week it is now? Last week apparently MLS put midweek games as Wk 14, and weekend as 15, so now we’re jumping to week 16!
14 sites published rankings for week 16. These rankings do not include midweek games. 1 site put on drop notice due to lack of posting.
As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it to the list!
Sites Used
- Jeff Sagarin
- Five Thirty Eight (Proj. points)
- Who Scored
- ESPN
- Massey
- Sonny Moore Rankings
- MLS
- Sports Club Stats (Seas. finish avg)
- Broadway Sports
- 3rd Degree
- Freeborg Power Index
- MLS Fantasy Boss
- Bleacher Report (drop warning - no update since wk 11)
- Club and Country
- US Soccer Players (monthly)
- Coach and Crew
You may notice the inclusion of ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a ‘control group’ to the rest which are based on personal opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.
Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it.
I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.
- Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
- Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.
All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.
The full spreadsheeet is here.
| Place | Team | Wk 33 | Wk 34 | Wk Best | Wk Worst | Std. Dev | 2022 Avg | 5-yr avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Atlanta United FC | 20.67 | 20.86 | 10 | 25 | 4.46 | 17.6 | 11.0832 |
| 5 | Austin FC | 5.22 | 6.14 | 5 | 17 | 4.02 | 7.2 | 12.992 |
| 23 | Charlotte FC | 20 | 21.71 | 16 | 27 | 3.61 | 22.8 | 14.784 |
| 24 | Chicago Fire | 23.56 | 22.71 | 17 | 24 | 2.17 | 20.7 | 19.678 |
| 10 | Cincinnati (FC) | 11.11 | 9.57 | 7 | 13 | 1.87 | 17.5 | 19.634 |
| 18 | Colorado Rapids | 20.44 | 18.71 | 14 | 22 | 2.65 | 16 | 15.666 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 8.89 | 12.71 | 4 | 16 | 3.76 | 11.3 | 10.859 |
| 28 | D.C. United | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24.5 | 17.176 |
| 6 | Dallas (FC) | 5.89 | 6.29 | 4 | 16 | 3.82 | 8.5 | 11.1342 |
| 26 | Houston Dynamo | 24.56 | 25.43 | 24 | 27 | 0.88 | 22 | 17.22 |
| 15 | Inter Miami CF | 14 | 15.14 | 11 | 21 | 3.91 | 21.3 | 17.622 |
| 9 | L.A. Galaxy | 10.33 | 8.57 | 6 | 12 | 2.06 | 9.8 | 11.408 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 1.56 | 1.71 | 1 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 5.5268 |
| 11 | Minnesota United FC | 15.22 | 12.14 | 7 | 17 | 2.93 | 11 | 12.076 |
| 3 | Montreal (CF) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3.06 | 10.2 | 14.52 |
| 7 | Nashville SC | 8.11 | 6.86 | 4 | 10 | 1.96 | 8.7 | 11.874 |
| 17 | New England Revolution | 20 | 18.29 | 6 | 23 | 4.77 | 14.7 | 12.164 |
| 4 | New York City FC | 6.33 | 4.86 | 3 | 10 | 2.11 | 6.6 | 6.5156 |
| 8 | New York RB | 7.11 | 7.29 | 5 | 10 | 1.58 | 6.4 | 9.5228 |
| 16 | Orlando City SC | 14.11 | 15.86 | 13 | 23 | 3.87 | 13.5 | 13.312 |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 1.44 | 1.29 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 6.902 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 11.67 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 2.79 | 13.8 | 11.134 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 14.44 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 1.79 | 10.8 | 13.31 |
| 25 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 24.43 | 19 | 26 | 2.65 | 23.8 | 18.838 |
| 19 | Seattle Sounders FC | 19.44 | 19.43 | 12 | 23 | 3.91 | 13.9 | 7.384 |
| 22 | Sporting Kansas City | 20.22 | 21.14 | 16 | 26 | 3.14 | 23.5 | 10.9248 |
| 27 | Toronto FC | 25.67 | 26.43 | 20 | 27 | 2.54 | 21.7 | 14.724 |
| 20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 18.56 | 20.14 | 16 | 25 | 3.49 | 22.6 | 19.364 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: LA Galaxy 4.77
- Lowest Standard Deviation: Sporting Kansas City 1.11
- Biggest Rise: San Jose Earthquakes up 4
- Biggest Fall: Columbus Crew down 4
Site Bias
All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.
| SITE BIAS | AVG | Most bias for | Site | Least Bias for | Site | Most bias agaist | Site | Least bias against | Site |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | 12.9 | -2.69 | Massey | -0.14 | Sonny Moore | 4.29 | Club & Country | 0.19 | Sports Club Stats |
| Austin FC | 20.6 | -4.67 | Club & Country | -0.35 | Freeborg | 3.15 | Sonny Moore | 0.74 | ESPN |
| Chicago Fire | 23.3 | -9.74 | Club & Country | -0.65 | 538 | 2.2 | Sonny Moore | 0.13 | MLS Fantasy Boss |
| Colorado Rapids | 7.4 | -1.69 | Freeborg | -0.2 | ESPN | 4.5 | Club & Country | 0.01 | Jeff Sagarin |
| Columbus SC | 13.7 | -6.56 | MLS Fantasy Boss | -0.2 | MLS | 6.95 | Club & Country | 0.06 | Freeborg |
| D.C. United | 16.1 | -12.76 | Club & Country | -0.47 | MLS | 3.8 | 3rd Degree | 0.23 | US Soccer Players |
| FC Cincinnati | 25.2 | -1.55 | Who Scored | -0.01 | Jeff Sagarin | 1.14 | Broadway | 0.2 | ESPN / Sonny Moore |
| FC Dallas | 19.9 | -3.93 | Who Scored | -0.33 | 538 | 2.67 | US Soc. Players | 0.43 | MLS |
| Houston Dynamo | 20.8 | -3.04 | 3rd Degree | -0.3 | Broadway | 2.97 | Club & Country | 0.05 | Jeff Sagarin |
| Inter Miami CF | 22.5 | -3.02 | 538 | -0.02 | Jeff Sagarin | 2.95 | MLS Fantasy Boss | 0.1 | Massey |
| Los Angeles FC | 11.9 | -6.94 | Club & Country | -0.8 | ESPN | 9.53 | Club & Country | 0.13 | 538 |
| L.A. Galaxy | 10.9 | -8.2 | Club & Country | -1.99 | Sonny Moore | 4.84 | MLS Fantasy Boss | 0.08 | 3rd Degree |
| Minnesota United FC | 14.1 | -7.18 | Club & Country | -0.12 | US Soccer Players | 3.17 | Coach & Crew | 0.27 | Freeborg |
| Montreal (CF) | 15.3 | -3.59 | Coach & Crew | -0.08 | MLS | 5.34 | 3rd Degree | 0.7 | US Soccer Players |
| Nashville SC | 8.4 | -1.16 | MLS | -0.11 | Coach & Crew | 3.42 | Club & Country | 0.35 | MLS Fantasy Boss |
| New Eng. Revolution | 3 | -4.36 | Broadway | -0.1 | ESPN | 1.8 | 3rd Degree | 0.5 | Freeborg |
| New York City FC | 6.1 | -4.9 | Club & Country | -0.29 | Jeff Sagarin | 3.92 | ESPN | 0.22 | Sonny Moore |
| New York RB | 14.5 | -4.81 | Who Scored | -0.15 | Jeff Sagarin | 3.71 | Coach & Crew | 0.18 | MLS Fantasy Boss |
| Orlando City SC | 9.2 | -3.02 | US Soc. Players | -0.09 | 3rd Degree | 3.97 | Who Scored | 1.24 | Jeff Sagarin |
| Philadelphia Union | 7.5 | -4.31 | MLS Fantasy Boss | -0.84 | MLS | 3.49 | Coach & Crew | 0.08 | Massey |
| Portland Timbers | 13.1 | -5.5 | 3rd Degree | -0.15 | Sports Club Stats | 7.15 | Club & Country | 0.07 | US Soccer Players |
| Real Salt Lake | 14.3 | -3.69 | Coach & Crew | -0.12 | 3rd Degree | 6.07 | Club & Country | 0.35 | Freeborg |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 18.7 | -5.23 | Coach & Crew | -0.62 | Sports Club Stats | 2.47 | Who Scored | 0.04 | MLS |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 2.2 | -0.59 | Sonny Moore | -0.02 | ESPN | 3.62 | Club & Country | 0.02 | Who Scored |
| Sporting Kansas City | 4 | -1.09 | Freeborg | -0.01 | Sports Club Stats | 2.59 | MLS Fantasy Boss | 0.12 | Club & Country |
| Toronto FC | 23.1 | -5.02 | MLS Fantasy Boss | -0.07 | 538 | 3.47 | Who Scored | 0.25 | Freeborg |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 19.2 | -4.01 | Sonny Moore | -0.08 | Coach & Crew | 3.34 | Club & Country | 0.08 | Jeff Sagarin |
