Wasatch Soccer SentinelOnly 12 of the 16 sites updated for the final week. It’s been a fun and often wild ride this year, and as always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it for next season!
Sites Used
- Jeff Sagarin
- Five Thirty Eight (Proj. points)
- Who Scored
- ESPN
- Massey
- Soccer America
- MLS
- MLS Fantasy Boss - No ranking Wk 31
- Reddit MLS
- Dallas News
- Atlanta News Now (Abbr. AJC)
- Pro Soccer USA
- Cincinnati Soccer Talk - No ranking Wk 30-31
- Freeborg Power Index
- In On It - No ranking Wk 31
- US Soccer Players (Monthly only) - No ranking Wk 31
You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance or ‘control group’ to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ blogs. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).
All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias. The S.Best/S.Worst are the highest and lowest averages for all of 2019.
| Place | Team | Wk 33 | Wk 34 | Wk Best | Wk Worst | Std. Dev | 2022 Avg | 5-yr avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Atlanta United FC | 20.67 | 20.86 | 10 | 25 | 4.46 | 17.6 | 11.0832 |
| 5 | Austin FC | 5.22 | 6.14 | 5 | 17 | 4.02 | 7.2 | 12.992 |
| 23 | Charlotte FC | 20 | 21.71 | 16 | 27 | 3.61 | 22.8 | 14.784 |
| 24 | Chicago Fire | 23.56 | 22.71 | 17 | 24 | 2.17 | 20.7 | 19.678 |
| 10 | Cincinnati (FC) | 11.11 | 9.57 | 7 | 13 | 1.87 | 17.5 | 19.634 |
| 18 | Colorado Rapids | 20.44 | 18.71 | 14 | 22 | 2.65 | 16 | 15.666 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 8.89 | 12.71 | 4 | 16 | 3.76 | 11.3 | 10.859 |
| 28 | D.C. United | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24.5 | 17.176 |
| 6 | Dallas (FC) | 5.89 | 6.29 | 4 | 16 | 3.82 | 8.5 | 11.1342 |
| 26 | Houston Dynamo | 24.56 | 25.43 | 24 | 27 | 0.88 | 22 | 17.22 |
| 15 | Inter Miami CF | 14 | 15.14 | 11 | 21 | 3.91 | 21.3 | 17.622 |
| 9 | L.A. Galaxy | 10.33 | 8.57 | 6 | 12 | 2.06 | 9.8 | 11.408 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 1.56 | 1.71 | 1 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 5.5268 |
| 11 | Minnesota United FC | 15.22 | 12.14 | 7 | 17 | 2.93 | 11 | 12.076 |
| 3 | Montreal (CF) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3.06 | 10.2 | 14.52 |
| 7 | Nashville SC | 8.11 | 6.86 | 4 | 10 | 1.96 | 8.7 | 11.874 |
| 17 | New England Revolution | 20 | 18.29 | 6 | 23 | 4.77 | 14.7 | 12.164 |
| 4 | New York City FC | 6.33 | 4.86 | 3 | 10 | 2.11 | 6.6 | 6.5156 |
| 8 | New York RB | 7.11 | 7.29 | 5 | 10 | 1.58 | 6.4 | 9.5228 |
| 16 | Orlando City SC | 14.11 | 15.86 | 13 | 23 | 3.87 | 13.5 | 13.312 |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 1.44 | 1.29 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 6.902 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 11.67 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 2.79 | 13.8 | 11.134 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 14.44 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 1.79 | 10.8 | 13.31 |
| 25 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 24.43 | 19 | 26 | 2.65 | 23.8 | 18.838 |
| 19 | Seattle Sounders FC | 19.44 | 19.43 | 12 | 23 | 3.91 | 13.9 | 7.384 |
| 22 | Sporting Kansas City | 20.22 | 21.14 | 16 | 26 | 3.14 | 23.5 | 10.9248 |
| 27 | Toronto FC | 25.67 | 26.43 | 20 | 27 | 2.54 | 21.7 | 14.724 |
| 20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 18.56 | 20.14 | 16 | 25 | 3.49 | 22.6 | 19.364 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: Toronto FC at 3.53
- Lowest Standard Deviation: Los Angeles FC 0.0
- Biggest Rise: Toronto FC - Up 4
- Biggest Fall: New York Red Bulls - Down 5
Site Bias
All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams.
| Team / Site | AVG | Jeff Sagarin | 538 | Who Scored | ESPN | Massey | Soc. Amer | MLS | Sonny Moore | Freeborg | MLS Multiplex | 3rd deg. | US Soc. Players | AVG | Team / Site |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | 15.5 | -0.5 | -0.97 | 1.57 | 2.83 | 1.9 | 0.28 | 2.19 | -1.87 | 5.67 | 1.81 | 5.64 | 1.1 | 15.5 | ATL |
| Chicago Fire | 18.66 | -0.47 | -0.59 | -3.66 | 1.09 | 1.01 | 2.9 | 1.34 | 4.59 | 0.26 | 2.84 | 3.34 | 3.94 | 18.66 | CHI |
| Colorado Rapids | 14.04 | -0.48 | 1.83 | -5.51 | 1.04 | -0.24 | 1.74 | 1.59 | 4.4 | -2.87 | 3.65 | 2.25 | 3.96 | 14.04 | COL |
| Columbus Crew SC | 4.71 | 4.42 | -0.98 | 0.89 | -0.21 | 0.09 | -2.04 | -1.08 | 4.42 | 1.71 | -1.27 | 1.86 | 0.29 | 4.71 | CLB |
| D.C. United | 20.48 | 0.58 | 3.59 | -0.68 | 0.69 | 2.32 | 0.96 | 3.02 | -0.98 | 2.52 | 0.21 | 4.38 | 1.32 | 20.48 | DCU |
| FC Cincinnati | 22.34 | 2.72 | 3.06 | 1.86 | 1.99 | 1.33 | -1.45 | 0.97 | 1.79 | 0.41 | 0.72 | -0.91 | -0.14 | 22.34 | CIN |
| FC Dallas | 9.94 | -1.25 | -0.01 | -2.94 | 2.39 | 0.13 | 0.62 | 1.75 | -2.94 | -0.27 | 4.44 | 2.77 | 5.06 | 9.94 | FCD |
| Houston Dynamo | 17.46 | 0.79 | 2.67 | 0.47 | 0.29 | -2.26 | 2.21 | 2.29 | -1.77 | -0.79 | 1.79 | 2.25 | -0.06 | 17.46 | HOU |
| Inter Miami CF | 6.51 | 4.86 | -0.02 | -0.42 | 2.36 | -0.22 | 2.55 | 1.74 | -6.89 | -2.72 | 4.24 | 2.68 | 2.11 | 6.51 | MIA |
| Los Angeles FC | 15.67 | -1.88 | -1.98 | 1.96 | 2.99 | 0.89 | -0.4 | 1.24 | -2.95 | 9.07 | 1.68 | 1.35 | -1.11 | 15.67 | LAFC |
| L.A. Galaxy | 6.86 | 1.77 | -1.67 | -4.4 | 0.83 | 2.13 | -2.34 | 2.21 | 0.46 | 4.33 | 1.08 | -3.38 | 0.93 | 6.86 | LAG |
| Minnesota United FC | 15.85 | -1.11 | 2.87 | -4.13 | 3.64 | -1.53 | 0.25 | 2.58 | -0.23 | 2.06 | 1.08 | 0.71 | 1.14 | 15.85 | MUFC |
| Montreal Impact | 12.24 | 2.65 | 2.55 | -1.25 | -0.85 | 2.82 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 5.09 | -1.02 | -0.22 | -0.56 | -0.65 | 12.24 | MTL |
| Nashville SC | 9.15 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 2.18 | -0.82 | -2.95 | 3.18 | -0.38 | 0.06 | 0.43 | 1.99 | 2.89 | 1.38 | 9.15 | NASH |
| N.E. Revolution | 13.88 | 4.45 | 1.43 | 0.36 | -2.41 | 1.76 | -0.24 | -0.11 | 3.32 | -1.41 | -0.8 | 1.76 | -1.84 | 13.88 | NER |
| New York City FC | 7.92 | -0.65 | 0.78 | 3.52 | 0.68 | -0.68 | 4.96 | -0.15 | -1.15 | -2.48 | 1.66 | -1.86 | -0.95 | 7.92 | NYFC |
| New York RB | 13.88 | 1.12 | 0.59 | -1.28 | -0.46 | 2.52 | 1.34 | 1.18 | 1.81 | 1.95 | -0.82 | 6.12 | 5.32 | 13.88 | NYRB |
| Orlando City SC | 7.92 | -0.29 | 2.35 | 5.21 | -0.92 | -2.85 | 1.64 | 0.14 | 1.64 | -2.75 | -0.11 | 0.37 | 1.08 | 7.92 | ORL |
| Philadelphia Union | 3.86 | -0.61 | -0.86 | 3.94 | 0.22 | -0.73 | 0.92 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -1.94 | 0.77 | 1.85 | 1.74 | 3.86 | PHI |
| Portland Timbers | 7.53 | -0.97 | 2.2 | 8.8 | 0.64 | -3.53 | 1.03 | -1.28 | 1.72 | 4.72 | -0.9 | -4.39 | -1.13 | 7.53 | POR |
| Real Salt Lake | 15.16 | -1.41 | 1.04 | 1.64 | 3.34 | 2.91 | 0.62 | 0.65 | -1.1 | 1.17 | 1.47 | 0.41 | 1.04 | 15.16 | RSL |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 17.05 | 0.01 | 0.28 | 8.08 | 0.62 | 2.82 | -0.27 | 1.08 | 2.95 | 2.78 | 0.2 | -1.62 | -4.25 | 17.05 | SJE |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 4.1 | -0.79 | 0.9 | -0.17 | 0.23 | 3.57 | 0.23 | -0.6 | -0.97 | 1.98 | 0.34 | -1.24 | -0.1 | 4.1 | SEA |
| Sporting Kansas City | 7.64 | 3.74 | -0.51 | -0.17 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.25 | 0.17 | 4.74 | -0.22 | -1.51 | -0.21 | -0.64 | 7.64 | SKC |
| Toronto FC | 4.42 | 1.46 | -1.55 | 3.05 | -0.75 | 4.45 | -0.75 | -1.48 | 2.58 | -0.17 | -1.79 | -2.42 | 4.18 | 4.42 | TFC |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 21.04 | 1.59 | 2.43 | 2.36 | 0.04 | 3.89 | 1.4 | 1.27 | 3.4 | -1.12 | -1.23 | -2.75 | -2.64 | 21.04 | VAN |
| X Team / Site | AVG | Sagarin | 538 | Who Scored | ESPN | Massey | Soc. Amer | MLS | Sonny Moore | Freeborg | MLS Multiplex | 3rd deg. | US Soc. Players | AVG | Team / Site |
End of year awards
- Site with lowest bias for/against: Pro Soccer USA.
- Site with highest bias for/against: InOnIt.
Yearly Totals
New teams are given the average of all teams for the previous years. This prevents the totals being wildly skewed for a good/bad performance the first few years.
| TEAM | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Tot Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United | 9.7 | 9.677 | 9.668 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 6.46 | 2.266 | 7.13 | 8.24 |
| Chicago Fire | 7.91 | 14.35 | 15.54 | 17.71 | 18.8 | 7.95 | 17.65 | 18.01 | 14.74 |
| Colorado Rapids | 12.85 | 9.88 | 11.54 | 17.38 | 5.25 | 18.35 | 20.69 | 20.18 | 14.52 |
| Columbus Crew | 11.7 | 12.81 | 9.6 | 8.75 | 16.31 | 11.27 | 7.875 | 16.73 | 11.88 |
| D.C. United | 7.45 | 17.24 | 7.49 | 5.91 | 13.91 | 18.79 | 16.74 | 8.08 | 11.95 |
| FC Cincinnati | 9.7 | 9.677 | 9.668 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 11.47 | 11.96 | 21.21 | 11.84 |
| FC Dallas | 12.88 | 8.58 | 6.35 | 4.64 | 2.73 | 6.07 | 7.081 | 10.26 | 7.32 |
| Houston Dynamo | 6.75 | 7.71 | 12.77 | 13.81 | 16.44 | 9.36 | 12.32 | 13.54 | 11.59 |
| Los Angeles FC | 9.7 | 9.677 | 9.668 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 11.47 | 5.934 | 1.27 | 8.59 |
| L.A. Galaxy | 8.39 | 5.15 | 5.23 | 4.51 | 3.75 | 15.74 | 12.02 | 8.71 | 7.94 |
| Minnesota United | 9.7 | 9.677 | 9.668 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 19.71 | 18.37 | 10.05 | 12.27 |
| Montreal Impact | 13.99 | 5.17 | 17.54 | 15.06 | 7.52 | 14.48 | 16 | 15.22 | 13.12 |
| N.E. Revolution | 14.78 | 12.52 | 9.66 | 9.5 | 15.45 | 15.29 | 13.48 | 17.49 | 13.52 |
| New York City FC | 9.7 | 9.677 | 9.668 | 15.47 | 9.42 | 4.4 | 4.418 | 6.29 | 8.63 |
| New York RB | 5.58 | 6.52 | 10.05 | 4.68 | 8.11 | 8.35 | 3.204 | 9.54 | 7 |
| Orlando City SC | 9.7 | 9.677 | 9.668 | 14.21 | 13.1 | 13.02 | 18 | 17.99 | 13.17 |
| Philadelphia Union | 15.19 | 10.45 | 11.85 | 18.07 | 8.66 | 16.32 | 13.59 | 7.09 | 12.65 |
| Portland Timbers | 15.88 | 5.83 | 11.64 | 9.45 | 9.78 | 7.3 | 9.17 | 12.08 | 10.14 |
| Real Salt Lake | 3.7 | 4.58 | 4.12 | 12.43 | 7.01 | 17.03 | 13.43 | 12.89 | 9.4 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 2.61 | 12.38 | 15.2 | 11.14 | 10.94 | 14.18 | 20.14 | 14.54 | 12.64 |
| Seattle Sounders | 5.07 | 9.38 | 2.86 | 6.07 | 13.75 | 7.89 | 11.83 | 4.82 | 7.71 |
| Sporting Kansas City | 3.07 | 4.48 | 5.64 | 6.35 | 9.12 | 5.58 | 5.064 | 14.32 | 6.7 |
| Toronto FC | 17.85 | 16.83 | 8.97 | 9.75 | 6.21 | 2.13 | 12.76 | 11.63 | 10.77 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 8.95 | 10.33 | 7.98 | 5.09 | 13.65 | 12.59 | 13 | 20.96 | 11.57 |
