Wasatch Soccer SentinelOnly 6 of the 7 sites ranked again this week, the site that didn’t publish last week updated theirs late; totals have been updated. By beating the Utah Royals FC, Washington Spirit take sole control of first place going into the World Cup break.
As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it!
Sites Used
- Five Thirty Eight (Projected Pts.)
- Soccer Club Stats (Win League %) - No Ranking Wk. 8
- Backline Soccer
- Reddit/r/NWSL
- RSL Soapbox (Published earlier this week)
- NWSL
- Freeborg Power Index
You may notice the list includes ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ blogs’. There are also included sites that some will argue are really ‘prediction rankings’ - but in reality isn’t that what a Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).
| Team | Wk 21 avg | Wk 22 avg | Wk 23 avg | Best | Worst | St. Dev | 2019 | 2Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Red Stars | 2.17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.488 | 4.22 |
| Houston Dash | 6.83 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6.466 | 6.72 |
| North Carolina Courage | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.305 | 1.67 |
| Orlando Pride | 8.83 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8.513 | 6.66 |
| Portland Thorns | 3.17 | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | 4 | 0.55 | 2.29 | 2.71 |
| Seattle Reign | 4.5 | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | 4 | 0.55 | 4.689 | 3.66 |
| Sky Blue | 8.17 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8.243 | 8.41 |
| Utah Royals | 4.17 | 5 | 5.4 | 5 | 6 | 0.55 | 4.071 | 4.6 |
| Washington Spirit | 6.17 | 6 | 5.6 | 5 | 6 | 0.55 | 4.778 | 6.23 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: North Carolina Courage at 1.47
- Lowest Standard Deviation: Orlando Pride and Sky Blue both at 0.0
Site Bias
All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculations (based on past performance for example). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams.
| Team / Site | AVG | 538 | Soc. Club Stat | Backline | Reddit /r/NWSL | RSL SB | NWSL | Freeborg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Red Stars | 3.488 | -0.188 | -0.198 | 0.292 | -0.438 | 0.292 | 1.242 | -0.368 |
| Houston Dash | 6.466 | 0.104 | -0.056 | -0.136 | -0.056 | 0.404 | -1.196 | 0.244 |
| North Carolina Courage | 2.305 | -1.005 | 0.105 | 0.255 | -0.165 | 0.305 | 1.145 | 0.695 |
| Orlando Pride | 8.513 | 0.097 | 0.307 | -0.183 | -0.153 | 0.007 | -0.063 | 0.077 |
| Portland Thorns | 2.29 | -0.16 | 0.18 | -0.51 | 0.21 | -0.16 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Seattle Reign | 4.689 | -0.039 | 0.781 | -0.079 | 0.261 | -0.079 | 0.491 | -0.749 |
| Sky Blue | 8.243 | 0.147 | -0.063 | 0.167 | 0.117 | -0.023 | -0.153 | 0.047 |
| Utah Royals | 4.071 | 0.759 | -0.481 | -0.311 | 0.289 | -0.591 | -0.711 | 0.459 |
| Washington Spirit | 4.778 | 0.442 | -0.428 | 0.332 | 0.042 | 0.002 | -1.228 | -0.658 |
| Highest Bias VS | 0.759 | 0.781 | 0.332 | 0.289 | 0.404 | 1.242 | 0.695 | |
| Highest Bias FOR | -1.005 | -0.481 | -0.51 | -0.438 | -0.591 | -1.228 | -0.749 | |
| Most Bias VS | Utah Royals | Reign FC | Wash. Spirit | Utah Royals | Houston Dash | Chicago RS | N. Car. Courage | |
| Most Bias For | N. Car. Courage | Utah Royals | Portland Thorns | Chicago RS | Utah Royals | Wash. Spirit | Reign FC | |
| Least Bias | Reign FC | Houston Dash | Reign FC | Wash. Spirit | Orlando Pride | Orlando Pride | Sky Blue FC |
| Site | Most Bias VS | Most Bias For | Least Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | Utah Royals | North Carolina | Reign |
| Soccer Club Stats | Reign | Utah Royals | Houston Dash |
| Backline Soccer | Washington Spirit | Portland Thorns | Houston Dash |
| Reddit /r/NWSL | Reign | Chicago Red Stars | Houston Dash |
| RSL Soapbox | Houston Dash | Utah Royals | Orlando Pride |
| NWSL | NA | NA | NA |
| Freeborg | North Carolina | Reign | Sky Blue |
