Wasatch Soccer Sentinel16 of 18 sites published for Week 21.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Who Scored (whoscored.com)
- Jeff Sagarin (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- Sports Club Stats (www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- SoccerAmerica (socceramerica.com)
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Soccer By Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Reddit user/FlyingCarsArePlanes (User analytic ranking) *No ranking Wk 19-21
- Reddit r/MLS (reddit.com/r/mls)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- The Score (thescore.com/mls/news)
- Seattle Times (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- Power Rankings & More (powerrankingsandmore.com/tag/mls)
- Hot Footy (hotfooty.com/major-league-soccer)
- Sportify (sportify.io/category/analysis) *No ranking Wk 21
- Black & Red United (blackandredunited.com)
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. The 'analytic' sites that are based on numbers make up a control group since they are based on performance and/or results rather than opinion. Each week I'll list the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
As with previous years, if you know of a site that I have not listed, please let me know in the comments below and I'll add it!
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk21
Wk20
Wk19
Team
Wk21
Avg
Wk20
Avg
Wk19
Avg
Worst
Best
1
2
2
Dallas
1.21
2.00
2.00
3
1
2
3
3
Los Angeles
2.36
2.57
2.87
4
1
3
1
1
Colorado
3.57
1.86
1.53
5
2
4
6
4
New York FC
4.43
7.07
4.53
6
2
5
4
8
New York RB
6.07
5.43
8.60
10
2
6
7
7
Salt Lake
7.71
9.21
8.40
13
5
7
5
9
Montreal
7.79
5.93
9.47
10
5
8
11
13
Toronto
7.93
10.21
12.33
11
3
9
10
12
Kansas City
9.00
10.07
11.87
12
5
10
8
5
Philadelphia
10.71
9.43
6.20
14
7
11
9
6
Portland
11.71
9.50
6.80
15
4
12
13
11
San Jose
13.00
12.79
11.67
16
8
13
12
10
Vancouver
13.43
12.07
11.20
20
9
14
15
16
Orlando
14.43
16.36
16.60
15
10
15
14
15
New England
15.71
15.00
16.36
19
12
16
16
14
D. C. U.
17.43
17.29
15.60
18
10
17
17
17
Houston
18.93
18.36
18.73
19
15
18
19
18
Seattle
19.00
19.99
18.87
20
15
19
20
20
Chicago
19.99
20.00
20.00
20
16
20
18
19
Columbus
20.00
18.93
19.80
20
17
- Largest Rise: Toronto +3
- Largest Fall: Colorado, Montreal, Philadelphia, Portland -2
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against (including Preseason ranking).
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3 off
4
off
5+
off
Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Who Scored
7
3
3
2
1
4
VAN
VAN -6.50
CHI +5.55
Jeff Sagarin
6
8
3
2
1
0
POR
POR -2.55
HOU +3.38
Sports Club Stats
2
11
4
3
0
0
3@+/-3
POR -5.46
CHI +3.22
Sports Illustrated
9
6
2
2
1
0
SJE
COL -3.06
SEA +3.93
ESPN
10
1
5
3
1
0
ORL
RSL -3.07
POR +3.83
Soccer America
7
5
6
1
1
0
RSL
NYRB -1.59
CHI +2.70
Major League Soccer
10
4
4
1
0
1
TFC
COL -1.74
TFC +2.80
The Mane Land
6
9
1
1
3
0
3@+/-4
PHI -2.60
VAN +3.66
Soccer By Ives
8
8
4
0
0
0
4@+/-2
COL -2.23
SEA +3.07
Reddit u/FlyingCarsArePlanes
NA
FCD -2.82
CLB +4.97
Reddit r/MLS
9
9
2
0
0
0
2@+/-2
COL -0.56
VAN +1.16
MLS Fantasy Boss
2
9
5
2
1
1
POR
PHI -4.07
POR +6.63
The Score
5
9
5
0
0
1
NYRB
COL -1.91
VAN +2.02
Power Rankings & More
8
7
3
1
1
0
SKC
TFC -1.93
NYFC +2.78
Seattle Times
6
10
2
2
0
0
2@+/-3
COL -1.01
VAN +2.39
Hot Footy
3
11
4
1
1
0
NYRB
POR -1.37
SKC +2.17
Sportify
NA
SKC -2.49
POR +3.55
Black & Red United
8
6
3
2
1
0
SJE
TFC -4.37
COL +4.61
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) Major League Soccer: with 10 exact, and 4 off by 1.
- Least Accurate Site: (most 5+ with 4 and 3 off as tiebreaker): Who Scored with 4 off by 5+.
- Site with Worst Bias VS: Who Scored with VAN 6.50 from avg.
- Site with Worst Bias FOR: MLS Fantasy Boss with POR 6.63 places from avg.
- Site with Least Bias VS: Reddit r/MLS with COL 0.56 places from avg.
- Site with Least Bias FOR: Reddit r/MLS with VAN 1.16 places from avg.
5 Year Average
Season ending power rank averaged over the last 5 years. Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)
Team
5 Yr
Avg*
Wk 20
Wk 18
Wk 17
5.38
5.39
5.41
5.42
5.73
5.73
5.69
5.69
6.26
6.24
6.19
6.19
7.15
7.17
7.20
7.22
7.57
7.62
7.71
7.74
7.92
7.90
7.82
7.77
8.88
8.87
8.88
8.87
10.07
10.03
9.96
9.90
10.43
10.41
10.43
10.44
10.69
10.66
10.57
10.52
10.88
10.86
10.86
10.87
10.96
11.04
11.19
11.27
11.52
11.54
11.64
11.69
11.54
11.52
11.47
11.47
11.57
11.55
11.52
11.50
11.89
11.85
11.78
11.74
12.29
12.30
12.22
12.18
12.39
12.39
12.39
12.38
12.72
12.69
12.70
12.71
14.95
14.94
14.91
14.89
FIFA-esque Power Ranking
The Weighted Average is calculated using a variation of the "FIFA method" with the current year counting for 100%, and previous years counting for a decreasing amount.
Team
Week
21
Week
20
Week
19
Week
18
LA Galaxy
83.73
83.67
83.61
83.57
FC Dallas
80.27
80.17
80.10
80.02
Sporting Kansas City
77.94
77.94
77.99
78.14
Real Salt Lake
76.06
76.12
76.28
76.40
New York Red Bulls
72.57
72.32
72.01
71.86
Seattle Sounders
70.19
70.33
70.54
70.72
Vancouver Whitecaps
69.96
70.03
70.03
69.99
Portland Timbers
66.53
66.65
66.68
66.54
Toronto FC
63.55
63.54
63.66
63.90
San Jose Earthquakes
62.69
62.89
63.09
63.28
D.C. United
62.29
62.35
62.40
62.36
Colorado Rapids
61.61
61.49
61.27
61.00
Orlando City *
61.49
61.60
61.82
62.09
Montreal Impact
61.12
61.20
61.20
61.38
New York City FC *
60.25
59.85
59.55
59.08
Columbus Crew SC
59.03
58.23
59.36
59.57
New England Revolution
58.74
58.74
58.71
58.75
Philadelphia Union
57.79
57.92
58.00
57.90
Houston Dynamo
55.78
55.90
55.99
56.12
Chicago Fire
44.03
44.07
44.14
44.20
- Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)
