Wasatch Soccer Sentinel13 of 17 sites published for Week 16. Bleacher Report has now been dropped for missing more than 6 consecutive weeks.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Who Scored (whoscored.com)
- Jeff Sagarin (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- Sports Club Stats (www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com) * No ranking Wk 14-16
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- SoccerAmerica (socceramerica.com)
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Soccer By Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings) * No ranking Wk 13-16
- Reddit user/FlyingCarsArePlanes (User analytic ranking) * No ranking Wk 15-16
- Reddit r/MLS (reddit.com/r/mls)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com) *No Ranking Wk 16
The Score (thescore.com/mls/news) - Seattle Times (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- Power Rankings & More (powerrankingsandmore.com/tag/mls)
- Hot Footy (hotfooty.com/major-league-soccer)
- Sportify (sportify.io/category/analysis)
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. The 'analytic' sites that are based on numbers make up a control group since they are based on performance and/or results rather than opinion. Each week I'll list the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
As with previous years, if you know of a site that I have not listed, please let me know in the comments below and I'll add it!
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk16
Wk15
Wk14
Team
Wk16
Avg
Wk15
Avg
Wk14
Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
1
1
Colorado
1.00
1.00
1.14
1
1
0
2
3
4
Dallas
2.45
4.20
4.14
5
2
3
3
4
5
Salt Lake
4.00
4.40
5.00
13
2
11
4
2
6
New York RB
5.09
3.40
7.00
9
3
6
5
6
3
Los Angeles
5.73
5.30
3.14
13
2
11
6
5
2
Philadelphia
6.00
4.60
2.86
10
3
7
7
7
7
Montreal
8.18
7.40
7.29
11
2
9
8
9
8
San Jose
8.36
8.10
9.00
11
6
5
9
10
10
Portland
9.18
10.70
10.71
17
3
14
10
12
11
Vancouver
10.18
13.00
11.43
19
6
13
11
13
14
New York FC
10.27
13.40
14.43
14
3
11
12
8
9
Toronto
10.55
7.70
9.71
15
5
10
13
11
11
Orlando
11.27
12.40
11.43
13
9
4
14
15
16
Kansas City
13.82
13.70
15.29
15
11
4
15
16
17
D. C. U.
14.45
15.50
15.57
16
5
11
16
14
18
New England
16.36
13.50
16.00
20
15
5
17
17
15
Columbus
16.64
16.30
14.57
18
12
6
18
18
13
Seattle
18.36
17.20
13.86
20
17
3
19
19
19
Houston
18.45
18.50
17.71
20
16
4
20
20
20
Chicago
19.91
19.50
19.57
20
15
5
- Largest Rise: Vancouver +2
- Largest Fall: Toronto -4
- Largest Range: Portland (14)
- Smallest Range: Colorado (0)
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against (including Preseason ranking).
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off
Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Who Scored
4
2
2
12
DCU/RSL
VAN -6.59
NYFC +5.72
Jeff Sagarin
5
2
3
10
TFC
POR -3.05
HOU +2.80
Sports Club Stats
10
2
3
5
SJE
POR -6.74
CHI +3.49
Sports Illustrated
NA
COL -3.58
SEA +4.11
ESPN
8
0
5
7
LAG
RSL -3.35
POR +4.07
Soccer America
8
7
2
3
LAG/VAN
NYRB -2.54
CHI +2.28
Major League Soccer
11
5
2
2
TFC
LAG -2.19
NYRB +2.31
The Mane Land
9
5
1
5
MTL/POR
PHI -2.97
VAN +3.37
Soccer By Ives
NA
COL -3.51
SEA +3.19
Reddit u/FlyingCarsArePlanes
NA
FCD -3.16
CLB +4.78
Reddit r/MLS
10
5
4
1
SJE
DCU -0.87
POR +1.08
MLS Fantasy Boss
NA
PHI -4.83
POR +6.72
The Score
8
8
2
2
NYRB
COL -2.82
VAN +1.85
Power Rankings & More
9
2
1
8
NYFC
TFC -2.30
NYFC +2.70
Seattle Times
10
6
4
0
4 @ +/-2
COL -1.16
VAN +1.92
Hot Footy
7
4
6
3
POR
PHI -2.45
SKC +2.28
Sportify
7
7
2
4
POR
SKC -4.91
COL +4.11
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) Major League Soccer: with 11 exact matches.
- Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with 2 off, and 1 off as tiebreaker): Who Scored with 12 off by 3+.
- Site with Worst Bias VS: Sports Club Stats with POR 6.74 from avg.
- Site with Worst Bias FOR: MLS Fantasy Boss with POR 6.72 places from avg.
- Site with Least Bias VS: Reddit r/MLS with DCU 0.87 places from avg.
- Site with Least Bias FOR: Reddit r/MLS with POR 1.08 places from avg.
Season Average Power Ranking
The 5 Year Weighted Average is calculated using a variation of the "FIFA method" with the current year counting for 100%, and previous years counting for a decreasing amount. The table is ordered based on the Weighted Points.
Team
Week
16
Week
15
Week
14
5 Yr
Avg*
Weighted
Pts*
Week
15
Week
14
3.75
3.65
3.55
5.41
83.60
83.7
83.80
3.72
3.89
3.90
7.23
79.82
79.66
79.65
8.59
8.55
8.16
5.63
78.37
78.52
78.89
5.96
6.23
6.33
6.16
76.52
76.26
76.18
11.84
12.56
13.24
7.73
71.74
71.06
70.36
14.88
14.88
14.72
7.65
71.50
71.56
71.71
11.72
12.05
11.98
8.81
70.24
70.01
70.05
9.26
9.44
9.34
10.41
66.59
66.48
66.54
6.90
6.79
6.69
12.06
64.65
64.84
64.93
7.95
8.09
8.12
9.86
63.74
63.62
63.61
10.83
11.10
11.03
10.41
62.82
62.59
62.68
16.01
16.50
16.59
10.82
62.48
62.06
61.99
5.56
5.51
5.38
11.46
61.58
61.69
61.83
7.11
7.59
8.05
11.75
60.41
59.96
59.50
15.15
15.33
15.28
11.60
60.37
60.26
60.32
14.94
15.24
15.41
12.28
59.23
58.99
58.84
13.97
14.58
14.61
11.29
58.51
57.99
57.97
7.86
8.18
8.39
12.68
57.93
57.64
57.44
15.80
16.05
15.86
11.37
56.54
56.40
56.59
18.40
18.75
18.69
14.78
44.74
44.50
44.56
- Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Best
Avg
Worst
Avg
Best
Pos
Worst
Pos
Chicago Fire
16.00
19.91
17
20
Colorado Rapids
1.00
18.71
1
20
Columbus Crew SC
7.47
19.27
7
20
D.C. United
13.00
19.86
13
20
FC Dallas
1.60
7.93
1
8
Houston Dynamo
7.67
19.56
7
20
LA Galaxy
1.20
7.40
1
6
Montreal Impact
1.13
9.23
1
8
New England Revolution
10.35
18.33
9
19
New York City FC
9.87
19.07
9
19
New York Red Bulls
3.40
19.93
2
20
Orlando City
4.07
14.71
3
16
Philadelphia Union
3.63
18.71
2
18
Portland Timbers
1.82
13.64
2
13
Real Salt Lake
1.80
13.82
2
15
San Jose Earthquakes
5.20
10.65
5
12
Seattle Sounders
9.07
18.36
9
18
Sporting Kansas City
1.20
16.18
1
16
Toronto FC
2.80
10.63
3
12
Vancouver Whitecaps
8.00
15.25
7
16
- Largest Range (position): 19 (Colorado)
- Smallest Range (position): 3 (Chicago)
- 5 teams have been ranked first
- 6 teams have been ranked last
