Wasatch Soccer Sentinel

14 of 19 sites published for Week 13. One more site dropped - NYCFC Blog has not published since week 7.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14

Sites Used:

• Who Scored (whoscored.com)
• Squawka (squawka.com)
• Jeff Sagarin (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
• Sports Club Stats (www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)
• Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
• ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
• SoccerAmerica (socceramerica.com)
• The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
• Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
• Reddit user/FlyingCarsArePlanes (User analytic ranking) * No ranking Wks 12-13
• Reddit r/MLS (reddit.com/r/mls)
• MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
• Soccer By Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings) * No ranking Wk 13
• Hot Footy (hotfooty.com/major-league-soccer)
• Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls) - No ranking Wks 10-12
• Seattle Times (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz) * No ranking Wk 13
• Power Rankings & More (powerrankingsandmore.com/tag/mls)
• The Score (thescore.com/mls/news)
• Sportify (sportify.io/category/analysis) * No ranking Wk 13

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. The 'analytic' sites that are based on numbers make up a control group since they are based on performance and/or results rather than opinion. Each week I'll list the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.

As with previous years, if you know of a site that I have not listed, please let me know in the comments below and I'll add it!

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Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk13

Wk12

Wk11

Team

Wk13

Avg

Wk12

Avg

Wk11

Avg

Worst

Best

Range

1

1

2

Colorado

1.50

1.43

1.67

10

1

9

2

2

1

Los Angeles

3.08

2.57

1.60

7

1

6

3

3

3

Dallas

3.42

3.21

5.07

9

2

7

4

5

6

Philadelphia

4.50

5.93

6.80

8

2

6

5

9

18

New York RB

6.92

10.07

18.13

9

3

6

6

4

7

Salt Lake

7.00

4.93

7.53

14

3

11

7

8

5

Montreal

7.58

9.57

6.27

12

3

9

8

6

8

San Jose

7.83

6.71

7.60

12

4

8

9

7

4

Toronto

10.33

7.43

5.27

16

7

9

10

10

9

Vancouver

11.25

11.07

9.13

20

5

15

11

12

15

Orlando

12.92

12.93

15.87

19

9

10

12

11

13

Portland

13.42

11.71

14.67

17

5

12

13

16

14

D. C. U.

14.33

17.14

15.47

18

7

11

14

17

17

Columbus

14.92

17.43

17.87

18

2

16

15

15

10

New York FC

15.33

14.79

10.40

19

10

9

16

13

11

Kansas City

17.00

14.36

12.27

20

3

17

16

18

16

New England

17.00

18.86

17.40

19

13

6

18

14

12

Seattle

18.33

14.50

12.73

20

5

15

19

19

19

Houston

19.92

20.00

18.27

20

15

5

20

19

20

Chicago

20.00

20.00

20.00

20

14

6

• Largest Rise: New York RB +4
• Largest Fall: Seattle -4
• Largest Range: Kansas City (17)
• Smallest Range: Houston (5)

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Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against (including Preseason ranking).

Site

Exact

1 off

2 off

3+ off

Furthest off

most bias vs

most bias for

Who Scored

6

2

3

9

VAN

VAN -5.07

NYFC +6.79

Squawka

1

4

1

14

SEA/SKC

VAN -5.07

CLB +9.64

Jeff Sagarin

1

10

4

5

4 @+/-4

POR -2.44

HOU +3.43

Sports Club Stats

7

9

3

1

POR

POR -6.51

CHI +5.32

Sports Illustrated

5

4

6

5

4 @+/-4

MTL -1.84

NYRB +4.35

ESPN

6

3

7

4

POR

RSL -2.71

POR +4.42

Soccer America

8

5

4

3

VAN

NYRB -1.73

CHI +3.87

The Mane Land

3

7

7

3

SJE

PHI -2.92

VAN +4.50

Major League Soccer

8

7

3

2

LAG

COL -2.09

NYRB +3.71

Reddit u/FlyingCarsArePlanes

NA

FCD -2.83

CLB +5.27

Reddit r/MLS

10

6

3

1

NYRB

PHI -0.49

VAN +1.79

MLS Fantasy Boss

4

4

6

6

POR

PHI -4.49

POR +7.44

Soccer By Ives

NA

TFC -1.85

SEA +3.42

The Score

4

6

6

4

SEA

COL -2.40

NYRB +3.19

Bleacher Report

NA

NYFC -2.22

VAN +2.93

Seattle Times

NA

COL -1.17

VAN +3.18

Power Rankings & More

3

10

2

5

TFC

POR -1.79

NER +3.09

Hot Footy

7

7

0

6

4 @+/-4

PHI -1.68

SJE +1.77

Sportify

NA

SKC -5.75

COL +5.51

• Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) Reddit r/mls: with 10 exact matches.
• Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with 2 off, and 1 off as tiebreaker): Squawka with 14 off by 3+.
• Site with Worst Bias VS: Sports Club Stats with POR 6.51 from avg (improving).
• Site with Worst Bias FOR: Squawka with CLB 9.64 places from avg (getting worse).
• Site with Least Bias VS: Reddit r/MLS with PHI 0.49 places from avg.
• Site with Least Bias FOR: Hot Footy with SJE 1.77 places from avg.

---

Season Average Power Ranking
The 5 Year Weighted Average is calculated using a variation of the "FIFA method" with the current year counting for 100%, and previous years counting for a decreasing amount. The table is ordered based on the Weighted Points.

Team

Week

13

Week

12

Week

11

5 Yr
Avg

Weighted
Pts

Week

12

Wk
11

LA Galaxy

3.60

3.65

3.75

5.38

83.75

83.70

83.60

Sporting Kansas City

7.45

6.66

5.96

5.40

79.60

80.39

81.09

FC Dallas

4.17

4.24

4.33

7.32

79.38

79.31

79.20

Real Salt Lake

6.86

6.85

7.02

6.34

75.65

75.66

75.49

Seattle Sounders

15.11

14.84

14.87

7.70

71.32

71.59

71.56

Vancouver Whitecaps

12.93

13.07

13.26

9.06

69.10

68.96

68.77

New York Red Bulls

14.50

15.13

15.59

8.27

69.10

68.47

68.01

Portland Timbers

9.71

9.40

9.19

10.50

66.17

66.48

66.69

Toronto FC

6.84

6.55

6.47

12.05

64.78

65.07

65.15

San Jose Earthquakes

8.44

8.49

8.65

9.95

63.29

63.24

63.08

Orlando City *

11.44

11.32

11.17

10.53

62.27

62.39

62.54

Montreal Impact

5.31

5.13

4.72

11.41

61.90

62.08

62.49

D.C. United

17.26

17.51

17.54

11.07

61.32

61.07

61.04

Columbus Crew SC

15.56

15.62

15.45

11.68

60.04

59.98

60.15

Colorado Rapids

8.91

9.53

10.26

12.11

58.64

58.02

57.29

New England Revolution

15.76

15.66

15.36

12.44

58.49

58.59

58.89

New York City FC *

14.56

14.50

14.47

11.41

58.02

58.08

58.11

Philadelphia Union

9.15

9.54

9.87

12.94

56.68

56.29

55.96

Houston Dynamo

16.05

15.73

15.33

11.42

56.40

56.72

57.12

Chicago Fire

19.10

18.95

18.82

14.92

44.15

44.30

44.43

• Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)

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Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team

Best
Avg

Worst
Avg

Best
Pos

Worst
Pos

Chicago Fire

17.06

20.00

17

20

Colorado Rapids

1.43

19.50

1

20

Columbus Crew SC

8.06

20.00

7

20

D.C. United

14.33

20.00

13

20

FC Dallas

1.73

8.81

1

8

Houston Dynamo

8.19

20.00

7

20

LA Galaxy

1.25

7.69

1

6

Montreal Impact

1.19

9.57

1

8

New England Revolution

11.06

19.19

9

19

New York City FC

10.25

19.94

9

19

New York Red Bulls

6.92

20.00

5

20

Orlando City

4.80

15.37

3

16

Philadelphia Union

4.50

19.78

4

18

Portland Timbers

1.94

14.67

2

13

Real Salt Lake

2.06

14.67

2

15

San Jose Earthquakes

5.31

11.06

5

12

Seattle Sounders

9.44

19.25

9

18

Sporting Kansas City

1.31

17.00

1

16

Toronto FC

3.06

10.94

3

9

Vancouver Whitecaps

9.13

16.29

7

16

• Largest Range (position): 19 (Colorado)
• Smallest Range (position): 3 (Chicago)
• 5 teams have been ranked first
• 6 teams have been ranked last