Wasatch Soccer SentinelMLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 7
17 of 20 sites published for Week 7. Two have been dropped (see below).
Here's a reminder of the informal Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Who Scored (whoscored.com)
- Squawka (squawka.com)
- Jeff Sagarin (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- Sports Club Stats (www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- SoccerAmerica (socceramerica.com)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Reddit user/FlyingCarsArePlanes (User analytic ranking, posted on reddit.com/r/mls) - No ranking Wk 7
- NYCFC Blog (skybluesofny.com)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com) - No ranking Wk 7
- Soccer By Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Reddit r/MLS (reddit.com/r/mls)
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Seattle Times (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- Hot Footy (hotfooty.com/major-league-soccer)
- The Score (thescore.com/mls/news)
- MLSfix (mlsfix.com) - No ranking Wk 7
- Power Rankings & More (powerrankingsandmore.com/tag/mls)
Two sites have been dropped as they have not published any rankings since Week 1.
- Altius Directory (altiusdirectory.com/Sports/mls-power-rankings.php)
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com/category/mls-power-rankings/)
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. The 'analytic' sites that are based on numbers make up a control group since they are based on performance and/or results rather than opinion. Each week I'll list the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
As with previous years, if you know of a site that I have not listed, please let me know in the comments below and I'll add it!
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk7
Wk6
Wk5
Team
Wk7
Avg
Wk6
Avg
Wk5
Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
2
1
Dallas
1.80
2.88
1.73
4
1
3
2
3
5
Salt Lake
1.93
3.63
5.27
6
1
5
3
4
6
Montreal
3.33
3.88
5.47
5
1
4
4
5
3
Los Angeles
4.73
6.13
4.73
9
2
7
5
1
2
Kansas City
5.53
1.56
2.80
11
2
9
6
12
12
Colorado
7.73
13.31
11.73
13
3
10
7
7
3
Orlando
8.27
6.81
4.80
10
5
5
8
9
9
Toronto
8.47
10.94
10.07
13
5
8
9
6
11
Philadelphia
9.00
6.94
11.00
11
5
6
10
8
8
San Jose
9.80
8.81
10.47
13
7
6
11
10
10
Portland
12.40
12.00
11.27
18
6
12
12
11
14
New England
13.00
12.88
14.93
16
9
7
13
15
17
Seattle
13.47
15.63
17.20
17
6
11
14
14
7
Vancouver
16.00
15.13
10.73
19
12
7
15
20
17
Columbus
16.67
20.00
17.73
19
8
11
16
16
15
New York FC
17.40
15.69
14.80
19
7
12
17
18
19
Chicago
17.47
17.06
17.67
20
12
8
18
13
13
Houston
17.60
14.06
13.87
19
12
7
19
17
20
D. C.
18.07
16.50
20.00
19
14
5
20
19
16
New York RB
20.00
19.13
16.60
20
19
1
- Largest Rise: Colorado +6
- Largest Fall: Kansas City -4
- Largest Range: Portland/New York FC (12)
- Smallest Range: New York RB (1)
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against (including Preseason ranking).
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off
Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Who Scored
4
4
4
8
NYFC
NYRB -4.77
HOU +7.55
Squawka
2
2
4
12
CLB
TFC -6.86
CLB +7.66
Jeff Sagarin
2
10
6
2
HOU / NYFC
POR -3.00
COL +5.26
Sports Club Stats
2
7
2
9
POR
POR -7.04
CHI +6.51
Sports Illustrated
8
5
2
5
SEA
COL -3.60
SEA +4.57
ESPN
4
7
4
5
COL / LAG / POR
RSL -4.44
NYRB +6.59
Soccer America
4
8
3
5
SKC
NYRB -2.34
RSL +4.62
The Mane Land
5
9
4
2
CLB
PHI -4.12
NYRB +5.97
Major League Soccer
4
6
4
6
COL
COL -2.74
NYRB +4.09
Reddit u/FlyingCarsArePlanes
NA
ORL -4.56
CLB +7.59
NYCFC Blog
7
7
3
3
POR
TFC -2.61
VAN +4.05
MLS Fantasy Boss
NA
PHI -4.74
NYRB +9.49
Soccer By Ives
6
8
4
2
TFC
TFC -2.79
SEA +4.39
Reddit r/MLS
12
8
0
0
8 @ +/-1
HOU -1.02
CLB +1.72
Bleacher Report
5
8
5
2
SKC
HOU -2.45
VAN +3.72
Seattle Times
6
8
3
3
COL
NYFC -1.02
VAN 4.00
Power Rankings & More
3
12
3
2
COL / SJE
POR -2.96
COL +3.59
Hot Footy
9
6
1
4
DCU
PHI -2.41
DCU +1.97
The Score
5
8
5
2
COL
COL -2.60
NYRB +4.52
MLSfix
NA
RSL -2.61
NYFC +6.24
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker Reddit r/MLS): with 12 exact matches to the average, and all 20 within 1.
- Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with 2 off, and 1 off as tiebreaker): Squawka with 12 off by 3+.
- Active Site with Worst Bias VS: Sports Club Stats with POR 7.04 from avg.
- Active Site with Worst Bias FOR: Squawka with CLB 7.66 places from avg.
- Active Site with Least Bias VS: TIE - Reddit r/MLS with HOU 1.02 places off & Seattle Times with NYRB only 1.02 places from avg.
- Active Site with Least Bias FOR: Reddit/r/MLS with CLB 1.72 places from avg.
Season Average Power Ranking
The 5 Year Weighted Average is calculated using a variation of the "FIFA method" with the current year counting for 100%, and previous years counting for a decreasing amount. The table is ordered based on the Weighted Points.
Team
Week
7
Week
6
Week
5
Week
4
2015
Avg
5 Yr
Avg
Weighted
Pts
3.21
2.83
3.05
3.12
6.35
4.55
16.16
5.09
5.15
4.94
4.99
4.51
5.67
17.74
3.49
3.77
3.94
4.50
4.64
7.19
19.94
8.17
9.21
10.29
11.55
12.43
6.60
25.66
16.12
16.56
16.67
16.54
6.07
7.90
29.69
13.38
12.94
12.48
12.91
5.09
9.15
31.35
15.10
14.06
12.97
12.06
4.68
8.39
31.50
7.73
6.96
6.01
4.70
9.45
10.11
31.85
7.72
7.60
6.96
6.18
9.75
12.22
36.10
10.18
10.50
11.22
12.83
14.21
10.28
36.47
3.69
3.75
3.76
3.33
15.06
11.09
36.48
9.00
8.87
8.91
8.52
11.14
10.07
37.27
15.09
14.83
13.73
12.73
8.75
11.59
39.50
13.93
14.09
14.30
14.14
9.50
12.08
39.68
18.65
18.65
19.15
18.66
5.91
11.35
40.07
12.96
12.19
11.84
11.33
13.81
10.80
40.51
13.85
13.26
12.82
12.32
15.47
11.26
41.27
11.27
11.65
12.57
12.96
18.07
13.37
45.44
14.19
15.27
15.66
16.65
17.38
13.17
46.64
18.49
18.66
18.98
19.30
17.71
14.80
55.24
- Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Best
Avg
Worst
Avg
Best
Pos
Worst
Pos
Chicago Fire
17.06
19.75
17
20
Colorado Rapids
7.73
19.50
6
20
Columbus Crew SC
8.06
20.00
7
20
D.C. United
16.50
20.00
17
20
FC Dallas
1.73
8.81
1
8
Houston Dynamo
8.19
17.60
7
18
LA Galaxy
3.94
7.69
3
6
Montreal Impact
1.19
5.61
1
6
New England Revolution
11.06
17.56
9
17
New York City FC
10.25
17.40
9
16
New York Red Bulls
9.72
20.00
8
20
Orlando City
4.80
15.38
3
16
Philadelphia Union
6.94
19.78
6
18
Portland Timbers
1.94
12.40
2
11
Real Salt Lake
1.93
14.67
2
15
San Jose Earthquakes
5.31
11.06
5
11
Seattle Sounders
12.72
19.25
10
18
Sporting Kansas City
1.31
6.78
1
6
Toronto FC
4.69
10.94
4
9
Vancouver Whitecaps
10.36
16.13
7
14
- Largest Range (position): 13 (Orlando/Salt Lake)
- Smallest Range (position): 3 (Chicago, L.A.)
- 3 teams have been ranked first
- 5 teams have been ranked last
