Wasatch Soccer SentinelMLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 32
One more site added to the dead list - MLS GB has passed 6 weeks without publishing. For Wk 32 - 11 of the 15 sites are included below; even the 'big sites' (ESPN & SI) took a week off.
There is a correction from last week's ratings. Jeff Sagarin's ratings have been adjusted; rather than using the "Recent" column it now reflects the overall "Rating" column which factors in all of the others numbers. All future rankings will use that column. Previous week's numbers can't be altered at this time since they are not available from the website. The changes have affected the averages for most of the teams, but the overall ranking order was not affected.
This alters last week's accuracy ratings for his site as follows:
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off
Furthest off
Jeff Sagarin
8
2
3
7
SJE -7
This puts Squawka as furthest off instead.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list for next season.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer America (socceramerica.com) *No ranking for Wk 32
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer) *No ranking for Wk 32
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- Black & Red United (blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (soccer.si.com) *No ranking for Wk 32
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
- NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 32
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm - overall ranking not "recent")
- Squawka (squawka.com/football-team-rankings#performance-score#team-stats#us-major-league-soccer)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one; their old ratings won't be removed.
- The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5/19
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking since 6/30
- Soccer by Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings) *No ranking since Wk 25
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings) *No ranking since Wk 26
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 32
Wk 31
Wk 30
Wk 29
Team
W32 Avg
W31 Avg
W30 Avg
W29 Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
1
2
1
New York RB
1.22
1.18
1.92
1.00
2
1
1
2
2
1
4
Los Angeles
2.00
2.09
1.42
4.73
3
1
2
3
3
4
4
Dallas
3.00
3.64
5.58
4.73
3
2
1
4
6
8
8
Kansas City
5.56
6.36
8.75
7.64
9
3
6
5
5
7
7
Seattle
6.44
6.18
6.58
7.36
10
4
6
6
4
5
2
Vancouver
6.67
5.90
6.42
4.55
15
3
12
7
7
5
2
Columbus
7.89
7.00
5.92
3.55
12
4
8
8
8
11
9
Toronto
8.44
7.64
9.67
9.73
14
4
10
9
9
3
6
New England
8.56
7.91
5.17
5.27
18
5
13
10
10
9
12
Montreal
10.44
10.55
9.17
11.18
15
7
8
10
11
12
13
San Jose
10.44
11.00
11.42
12.00
14
4
10
12
13
13
11
D. C.
11.33
11.82
13.75
11.00
17
9
8
13
12
10
10
Portland
12.00
11.73
9.50
10.82
15
3
12
14
14
15
14
Salt Lake
13.33
13.55
14.42
12.09
16
8
8
15
15
17
16
Orlando
14.22
13.73
15.08
16.36
20
12
8
16
16
14
15
New York FC
16.11
16.09
14.08
15.36
17
9
8
17
17
16
17
Houston
16.33
16.18
14.58
16.45
17
11
6
18
18
18
18
Philadelphia
18.11
18.00
17.42
16.82
20
15
5
19
19
20
20
Chicago
18.33
18.91
19.83
19.73
20
12
8
20
20
19
19
Colorado
19.67
19.45
18.92
18.64
20
19
1
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off
Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Major League Soccer
11
3
3
3
SJE +4
SJE +1.96
MON -1.44
Soccer America
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
POR +1.68
SJE -2.35
ESPN
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
FCD +2.32
NER -3.03
Seattle Times
10
6
2
2
NER -4
SJE +1.86
ORL -1.82
Black & Red United
6
6
1
7
SJE -6
TFC +3.05
SJE -3.26
Sports Illustrated
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
SKC +2.69
ORL -1.67
The Mane Land
3
10
2
5
MON +5
MON +1.41
LAG -1.47
Who Scored
4
5
3
8
NER +8
NER +5.35
NYFC -4.69
Reddit /r/MLS
9
9
2
0
ORL -2/SJE +2
NYFC +1.03
CLB -1.04
Soccer In America
8
6
4
2
SKC +5
NYFC +1.76
NER -1.26
MLS Fantasy Boss
5
8
0
7
RSL -6/TFC +6
TFC +4.11
NER -3.33
Pro Soccer Talk
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
SKC +2.25
SJE -3.36
Bleacher Report
9
7
1
3
SJE +4
RSL +1.96
NER -1.98
Jeff Sagarin
6
5
4
5
SJE -6
DCU +3.33
SJE -4.53
Squawka
2
6
2
10
POR -10
NER +9.42
POR -7.66
-
Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) MLS with 11 exact.
-
Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with 2 off as tiebreaker) Squawka with 10 off by 3+.
-
Furthest Off: Squawka placed POR 10 places better than average.
-
Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing NER an average of 9.45 places worse than average (down .03 from last week).
-
Sites with Least Bias - all with bias for/against less than 2:
-
1st - Reddit /r/MLS
-
2nd - The Mane Land
-
3rd - Soccer In America
-
4th - Major League Soccer
-
5th - Seattle Times
-
6th - Bleacher Report
-
Season Average Power Ranking
Team
W29
Avg
W30
Avg
W31
Avg
W32
Avg
2015
(run. avg)
2014
Avg
2013
Avg
2012
Avg
5.94
5.96
5.97
5.98
4.13
4.04
9.36
4.39
4.89
4.91
4.87
4.81
4.27
7.09
8.78
17.17
4.74
4.63
4.55
4.47
4.70
6.77
5.14
2.46
4.92
5.22
5.43
5.62
4.91
12.15
7.29
9.33
5.25
5.14
5.01
4.89
5.94
11.07
6.38
7.23
4.81
4.86
4.89
4.96
6.24
7.40
10.41
7.87
6.11
6.20
6.20
6.18
8.03
4.45
4.45
3.09
9.26
9.15
9.08
9.04
9.31
8.97
12.89
9.46
9.98
9.97
9.89
9.85
9.99
7.47
16.85
10.96
9.62
9.48
9.43
9.40
10.28
11.50
12.35
14.84
12.11
12.19
12.23
12.27
10.31
2.94
4.52
8.40
9.51
9.51
9.58
9.66
10.90
11.34
5.73
13.89
11.08
11.09
11.09
11.07
11.58
14.44
12.34
4.86
14.20
14.23
14.22
14.22
12.86
--
--
--
13.49
13.53
13.62
13.70
13.22
9.48
7.74
6.29
15.37
15.33
15.35
15.38
13.75
--
--
--
17.46
17.54
17.59
17.61
17.16
15.61
14.27
13.07
17.08
17.14
17.21
17.29
17.18
9.66
9.79
10.06
16.10
15.87
15.70
15.53
17.49
17.67
5.32
15.74
18.11
18.09
18.08
17.77
11.33
10.53
15.70
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
11
20
11.79
19.83
Colorado Rapids
14
20
14.62
19.67
Columbus Crew SC
2
14
3.55
14.25
D.C. United
1
13
2.19
13.75
FC Dallas
1
10
1.13
9.25
Houston Dynamo
7
18
8.50
16.69
LA Galaxy
1
11
1.15
10.88
Montreal Impact
9
20
9.17
19.93
New England Revolution
3
17
3.33
17.00
New York City FC
4
20
6.73
20.00
New York Red Bulls
1
11
1.00
12.63
Orlando City
7
20
7.46
19.18
Philadelphia Union
16
20
14.77
19.62
Portland Timbers
3
17
4.23
16.33
Real Salt Lake
5
18
4.43
16.64
San Jose Earthquakes
7
19
7.06
18.33
Seattle Sounders
1
13
1.00
13.92
Sporting Kansas City
1
15
1.21
14.13
Toronto FC
3
17
3.33
17.25
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
15
1.31
13.75
- Largest Range (position): New York FC = 16 point span
- Smallest Range (position): Philadelphia = 4 point span
- 7 teams have been ranked first
- 6 teams have been ranked last
