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Original publish date: October 1, 2015

Week 30 Power Ranking Averages

14 of 17 sites published. LA barely edges NYRB for first

MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 30

For Wk 30 - 14 of the 17 sites are included below.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list for next season.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14

Sites Used:

Possibly Dead List

Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one; their old ratings won't be removed.

  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5/19
  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking since 6/30

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 30

Wk 29

Wk 28

Wk 27

Team

W30 Avg

W29 Avg

W28 Avg

W27 Avg

Worst

Best

Range

1

4

2

2

Los Angeles

1.42

4.73

2.78

1.73

3

1

2

2

1

1

1

New York RB

1.92

1

1.33

1.36

4

1

3

3

6

5

5

New England

5.17

5.27

5.67

6.18

18

2

16

4

4

4

4

Dallas

5.58

4.73

4.11

4.36

10

3

7

5

2

6

6

Columbus

5.92

3.55

6.00

7.00

12

2

10

6

3

3

3

Vancouver

6.42

4.55

3.22

3.73

16

2

14

7

7

10

12

Seattle

6.58

7.36

9.89

10.82

11

3

8

8

8

9

7

Kansas City

8.75

7.64

9.56

7.36

15

5

10

9

12

13

14

Montreal

9.17

11.18

13.67

14.18

13

5

8

10

10

7

8

Portland

9.50

10.82

8.00

9.00

11

3

8

11

9

12

8

Toronto

9.67

9.73

10.44

9.00

17

4

13

12

13

10

11

San Jose

11.42

12.00

9.89

9.18

16

2

14

13

11

8

8

D.C. United

13.75

11.00

9.00

9.00

19

10

9

14

15

19

18

New York FC

14.08

15.36

18.67

17.91

17

9

8

15

14

14

16

Salt Lake

14.42

12.09

13.89

15.91

18

8

10

16

17

15

13

Houston

14.58

16.45

14.44

12.91

17

9

8

17

16

17

20

Orlando

15.08

16.36

17.44

19.18

20

11

9

18

18

18

17

Philadelphia

17.42

16.82

17.89

16.64

18

13

5

19

19

16

15

Colorado

18.92

18.64

16.11

15.36

20

18

2

20

20

20

19

Chicago

19.83

19.73

18.78

18.73

20

14

6


Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.

Site

Exact

1 off

2 off

3+ off

Furthest off

most bias vs

most bias for

Major League Soccer

4

14

2

0

DCU +2/NYFC -2

SJE +1.88

TFC -1.52

Soccer by Ives

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

RSL +2.21

SEA -1.72

Soccer America

3

8

4

5

TFC -5

POR +1.88

SJE -2.45

ESPN

7

5

5

3

FCD +6

NYFC +2.22

NER -3.03

Seattle Times

4

8

5

3

ORL -4

NYRB +1.93

ORL -1.94

MLS GB

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

TFC +2.80

RSL -2.01

Black & Red United

5

8

2

5

SJE -8

TFC +3.00

SJE -3.02

Sports Illustrated

5

2

4

9

SKC +7

SKC +2.50

ORL -1.66

The Mane Land

8

6

1

5

DCU +4

SEA +1.31

LAG -1.50

Who Scored

1

7

2

10

NER +12

NER +5.15

NYFC -4.53

Reddit /r/MLS

8

8

1

3

NYFC +3/ORL,VAN -3

COL +0.99

CLB -1.12

Soccer In America

6

7

4

3

FCD,NYFC +3/TFC -3

NYFC +1.82

NER -1.26

MLS Fantasy Boss

8

5

2

5

TFC +5/RSL -5

TFC +3.99

NER -3.41

Pro Soccer Talk

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

RSL +2.24

SJE -3.38

Bleacher Report

6

9

3

2

ORL -4

RSL +1.98

NER -2.19

Jeff Sagarin

3

4

3

10

VAN +10/SJE -10

SEA +3.64

COL -4.49

Squawka

5

4

1

10

NER +15

NER +9.45

POR -7.64

  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) Reddit/r/MLS with 8 exact and 8 one away.

  • Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with 2 off as tiebreaker) Jeff Sagarin with 10 off by 3+ and 3 two away.

  • Furthest Off: Squawka placed NER 15 places worse than average.

  • Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing NER an average of 9.45 places worse than average (up .07 from last week!).

  • Sites with Least Bias - all with bias for/against less than 2:

    1. Reddit /r/MLS

    2. The Mane Land

    3. Soccer In America

    4. Major League Soccer

    5. Seattle Times

Season Average Power Ranking

Team

2015

(run. avg)

W30
Avg

W29
Avg

W28
Avg

W27
Avg

2014
Avg

2013
Avg

2012
Avg

Seattle Sounders

4.01

5.96

5.94

5.89

5.78

4.04

9.36

4.39

FC Dallas

4.24

4.91

4.89

4.90

4.92

7.09

8.78

17.17

LA Galaxy

4.71

4.63

4.74

4.74

4.79

6.77

5.14

2.46

D.C. United

4.86

5.22

4.92

4.71

4.49

12.15

7.29

9.33

New York Red Bulls

6.01

5.14

5.25

5.40

5.53

11.07

6.38

7.23

Vancouver Whitecaps

6.32

4.86

4.81

4.82

4.94

7.40

10.41

7.87

Sporting Kansas City

8.15

6.20

6.11

6.06

5.95

4.45

4.45

3.09

Columbus Crew SC

9.33

9.15

9.26

9.46

9.53

8.97

12.89

9.46

Toronto FC

10.00

9.97

9.98

9.99

9.92

7.47

16.85

10.96

Real Salt Lake

10.18

12.19

12.11

12.11

12.12

2.94

4.52

8.40

New England Revolution

10.34

9.48

9.62

9.78

9.87

11.50

12.35

14.84

Portland Timbers

10.99

9.51

9.51

9.47

9.66

11.34

5.73

13.89

San Jose Earthquakes

11.62

11.09

11.08

11.05

11.09

14.44

12.34

4.86

Orlando City

12.77

14.23

14.20

14.13

13.96

--

--

--

Houston Dynamo

13.19

13.53

13.49

13.39

13.31

9.48

7.74

6.29

New York City FC

13.64

15.33

15.37

15.37

15.26

--

--

--

Chicago Fire

17.13

17.54

17.46

17.38

17.36

15.61

14.27

13.07

Colorado Rapids

17.18

17.14

17.08

17.02

17.07

9.66

9.79

10.06

Montreal Impact

17.61

15.87

16.10

16.27

16.33

17.67

5.32

15.74

Philadelphia Union

17.76

18.09

18.11

18.15

18.16

11.33

10.53

15.70


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team

Weekly
Best

Weekly
Worst

Best
Wk. Avg.

Worst
Wk. Avg.

Chicago Fire

11

20

11.79

19.83

Colorado Rapids

14

20

14.62

19.23

Columbus Crew SC

2

14

3.55

14.25

D.C. United

1

13

2.19

13.75

FC Dallas

1

10

1.13

9.25

Houston Dynamo

7

18

8.50

16.69

LA Galaxy

1

11

1.15

10.88

Montreal Impact

9

20

9.17

19.93

New England Revolution

3

17

3.33

17.00

New York City FC

4

20

6.73

20.00

New York Red Bulls

1

11

1.00

12.63

Orlando City

7

20

7.46

19.18

Philadelphia Union

16

20

14.77

19.62

Portland Timbers

3

17

4.23

16.33

Real Salt Lake

5

18

4.43

16.64

San Jose Earthquakes

7

19

7.06

18.33

Seattle Sounders

1

13

1.00

13.92

Sporting Kansas City

1

15

1.21

14.13

Toronto FC

3

17

3.33

17.25

Vancouver Whitecaps

1

15

1.31

13.75

  • Largest Range (position): New York FC = 16 point span
  • Smallest Range (position): Philadelphia = 4 point span
  • 7 teams have been ranked first
  • 6 teams have been ranked last