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Original publish date: August 26, 2015

Week 15 MLS Power Ranking Averages from 15 sites

15 of 18 sites published this week. San Jose make a huge leap, Kansas City drops.

MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 25

For Wk 25 - 15 of 18 sites are included below.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14

Sites Used:

Possibly Dead List

  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking for past 6 weeks
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings) *No ranking for past 4 weeks

Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one, and their old ratings won't be removed.

  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5-19-15, site offline 7-27

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 25

Wk 24

Wk 23

Wk 22

Team

W25 Avg

W24 Avg

W23 Avg

W22 Avg

Worst

Best

Range

1

1

1

3

Los Angeles

1.15

1.69

2.67

3.08

3

1

2

2

4

3

4

Vancouver

2.54

4.00

2.92

3.23

9

2

7

3

3

5

6

New York RB

2.62

3.15

4.50

4.92

4

1

3

4

1

2

2

Kansas City

4.69

1.69

2.83

3.15

9

2

7

5

5

3

1

D.C. United

5.85

4.54

2.92

2.62

11

4

7

6

6

7

7

Portland

6.62

6.31

7.33

8.23

8

2

6

7

7

6

5

Dallas

7.46

6.46

5.42

4.38

10

4

6

8

8

8

10

Columbus

8.00

9.00

9.17

11.08

11

4

7

9

9

12

11

New England

9.92

9.69

11.50

11.92

20

5

15

10

11

9

8

Toronto

9.38

11.23

9.25

8.77

14

6

8

11

15

16

16

San Jose

9.77

14.46

15.33

15.15

14

2

12

12

10

13

12

Seattle

12.62

10.77

13.92

12.69

18

8

10

13

13

10

13

Houston

12.85

12.69

10.42

12.38

19

7

12

14

12

11

9

Montreal

14.08

11.92

11.33

10.85

17

12

5

15

16

14

14

Salt Lake

14.15

15.46

14.50

13.23

16

12

4

16

14

17

17

New York FC

16.00

14.00

15.92

15.62

18

11

7

17

19

18

18

Colorado

17.15

18.62

17.67

17.38

19

14

5

18

19

20

20

Philadelphia

17.31

18.62

18.92

19.62

19

13

6

19

17

15

15

Orlando

18.23

16.46

15.08

13.77

20

16

4

20

18

19

19

Chicago

19.62

18.54

18.25

17.85

20

13

7


Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.

Site

Exact

1 off

2 off

3+ off

Furthest off

most bias vs

most bias for

Major League Soccer

9

6

3

2

NER +4/TFC -4

SJE +2.04

MON -1.30

Soccer by Ives

14

4

0

2

CLB +3/SJE -3

RSL +2.78

NER -2.05

Soccer America

6

8

5

1

NER +4

POR +2.42

SJE -2.65

ESPN

6

7

6

1

NER -3

NYFC +2.62

NER -2.93

Seattle Times

9

5

5

1

ORL -2

NYRB +2.61

ORL -1.86

MLS GB

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

TFC +3.19

RSL -1.76

Black & Red United

7

3

3

7

SJE -7

TFC +3.06

SJE -2.59

Sports Illustrated

7

6

2

5

SKC +4/CLB, NER -4

NER +2.59

VAN -2.12

The Mane Land

7

4

5

4

4 @ +/- 3

SEA +1.69

LAG -1.63

Who Scored

1

6

7

6

NER +9

ORL +5.66

NYFC -3.96

Reddit /r/MLS

12

5

2

1

ORL -3

COL +1.43

CLB -1.10

Soccer Info. Network

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

MON +2.41

SEA -2.94

Soccer In America

10

4

5

1

TFC -4

NYFC +1.93

VAN -1.23

MLS Fantasy Boss

4

9

3

4

TFC +4

TFC +4.06

NER -3.77

Pro Soccer Talk

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

SKC +2.63

SJE -3.36

Bleacher Report

12

3

4

1

NER -3

NYFC +2.27

NER -2.00

Jeff Sagarin

2

6

5

7

SJE -9

SEA +3.57

COL -4.37

Squawka

3

3

3

11

NER +11

NER +9.41

POR -8.14

  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Soccer By Ives with 14 exact and 4 within 1.

  • Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with +2 as tiebreaker) Squawka with 11 off by +3.

  • Furthest Off: Squawka placed NER 11 places worse than average.

  • Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing NER an average of 9.41 places worse than average.

  • Sites with Least Bias - all with bias for/against less than 2:

    • 1st - Reddit /r/MLS

    • 2nd - The Mane Land

    • Soccer In America (back on the top 3)

Season Average Power Ranking

Team

2015

(run. avg)

W25
Avg

W24
Avg

W23
Avg

W22
Avg

W21
Avg

W20
Avg

2014
Avg

2013
Avg

2012
Avg

Seattle Sounders

3.53

5.23

4.92

4.67

4.22

3.84

3.63

4.04

9.36

4.39

FC Dallas

4.05

4.85

4.74

4.66

4.63

4.64

4.90

7.09

8.78

17.17

LA Galaxy

4.62

4.95

5.10

5.25

5.37

5.48

5.68

6.77

5.14

2.46

D.C. United

4.76

4.06

3.99

3.96

4.02

4.08

4.21

12.15

7.29

9.33

New York Red Bulls

6.03

5.74

5.87

5.99

6.06

6.11

6.25

11.07

6.38

7.23

Vancouver Whitecaps

6.57

5.00

5.10

5.15

5.25

5.34

5.43

7.40

10.41

7.87

Sporting Kansas City

8.39

5.70

5.74

5.92

6.05

6.19

6.53

4.45

4.45

3.09

Columbus Crew SC

9.13

9.62

9.68

9.71

9.75

9.67

9.93

8.97

12.89

9.46

Real Salt Lake

9.60

11.62

11.52

11.34

11.21

11.10

11.37

2.94

4.52

8.40

Toronto FC

9.84

9.86

9.88

9.82

9.83

9.90

10.18

7.47

16.85

10.96

New England Revolution

10.26

9.89

9.89

9.90

9.83

9.73

9.67

11.50

12.35

14.84

Portland Timbers

11.08

9.54

9.66

9.81

9.92

10.00

10.30

11.34

5.73

13.89

San Jose Earthquakes

11.68

11.19

11.25

11.11

10.94

10.72

10.65

14.44

12.34

4.86

Orlando City

12.33

13.38

13.17

13.03

12.93

12.90

12.97

--

--

--

Houston Dynamo

12.95

13.16

13.17

13.20

13.34

13.37

13.64

9.48

7.74

6.29

New York City FC

13.12

14.84

14.79

14.82

14.77

14.73

15.09

--

--

--

Chicago Fire

16.82

17.03

16.93

16.86

16.79

16.74

16.93

15.61

14.27

13.07

Colorado Rapids

16.93

16.97

16.96

16.89

16.87

16.83

17.22

9.66

9.79

10.06

Philadelphia Union

17.38

17.91

17.94

17.91

17.86

17.78

18.07

11.33

10.53

15.70

Montreal Impact

17.62

16.18

16.26

16.45

16.67

16.96

17.46

17.67

5.32

15.74


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team

Weekly
Best

Weekly
Worst

Best
Wk. Avg.

Worst
Wk. Avg.

Chicago Fire

11

20

11.77

19.62

Colorado Rapids

15

20

14.07

19.25

Columbus Crew SC

5

14

6.14

14.20

D.C. United

1

10

1.87

9.57

FC Dallas

1

10

1.07

9.40

Houston Dynamo

7

18

8.73

16.67

LA Galaxy

1

11

1.15

10.93

Montreal Impact

9

20

10.50

19.92

New England Revolution

3

17

3.21

16.79

New York City FC

4

20

6.29

20.00

New York Red Bulls

1

11

1.27

12.80

Orlando City

7

19

7.58

18.23

Philadelphia Union

16

20

14.83

19.69

Portland Timbers

3

17

4.23

16.57

Real Salt Lake

5

18

4.62

16.64

San Jose Earthquakes

7

19

6.80

18.73

Seattle Sounders

1

13

1.00

13.92

Sporting Kansas City

1

15

1.20

14.17

Toronto FC

3

17

3.36

16.62

Vancouver Whitecaps

1

15

1.33

13.73