Wasatch Soccer SentinelMLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 23
One site retroactively published rankings for Wk 22 effecting a minor change to the averages. For Wk 23 - 14 of 18 sites are included below.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz) *No ranking for Wk 23
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings) *No ranking for Wk 23
- Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 23
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- Squawka (http://www.squawka.com/football-team-rankings#performance-score#team-stats#us-major-league-soccer)
Possibly Dead List
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking for past 6 weeks
Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one, and their old ratings won't be removed.
- The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5-19-15, site offline 7-27
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 23
Wk 22
Wk 21
Wk 20
Wk 19
Team
W23 Avg
W22 Avg
W21 Avg
W20 Avg
W19 Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
3
3
2
2
Los Angeles
2.67
3.08
3.69
2.20
2.87
7
1
6
2
2
2
1
1
Kansas City
2.83
3.15
2.54
1.20
1.21
6
1
5
3
1
4
4
3
D.C.
2.92
2.62
4.00
4.73
3.57
6
1
5
3
4
5
5
6
Vancouver
2.92
3.23
4.69
5.07
5.93
7
1
6
5
6
6
6
8
New York RB
4.50
4.92
6.31
5.87
7.93
7
2
5
6
5
1
3
4
Dallas
5.42
4.38
1.54
2.93
3.93
10
1
9
7
7
8
7
7
Portland
7.33
8.23
7.69
5.93
6.29
9
2
7
8
10
9
10
11
Columbus
9.17
11.08
8.85
8.47
12.40
12
6
6
9
8
7
8
9
Toronto
9.25
8.77
7.62
7.73
8.47
13
7
6
10
13
13
18
13
Houston
10.42
12.38
13.62
14.87
13.86
15
7
8
11
9
12
16
15
Montreal
11.33
10.85
13.54
14.53
14.50
16
8
8
12
11
16
14
17
New England
11.50
11.92
15.00
13.33
16.79
20
7
13
13
12
10
9
5
Seattle
13.92
12.69
10.54
8.27
5.40
20
8
12
14
14
11
12
18
Salt Lake
14.50
13.23
11.38
12.60
16.67
17
10
7
15
15
18
13
12
Orlando
15.08
13.77
16.46
13.00
12.57
20
12
8
16
16
15
11
10
San Jose
15.33
15.15
14.92
11.53
10.29
20
11
9
17
17
14
17
14
New York FC
15.92
15.62
13.69
14.73
14.33
19
11
8
18
18
17
15
19
Colorado
17.67
17.38
15.77
14.07
17.13
20
14
6
19
19
20
20
20
Chicago
18.25
17.85
19.46
18.47
19.07
20
13
7
20
20
19
19
16
Philadelphia
18.92
19.62
18.77
16.67
15.87
20
15
5
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off
Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Major League Soccer
6
8
5
1
ORL -3
SJE +2.06
MON -1.28
Soccer by Ives
5
8
3
4
SJE -5
RSL +2.92
NER -2.20
Soccer America
6
2
5
7
FCD -5
POR +2.61
SJE -2.78
ESPN
5
9
4
2
LAG +6
NYFC +2.68
NER -2.94
Seattle Times
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NYRB +2.82
NER -1.85
MLS GB
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
TFC +3.23
RSL -1.48
Black & Red United
4
6
2
8
SEA +7
TFC +3.01
SJE -2.41
Sports Illustrated
1
8
7
4
3 @ +/-4
NER +3.10
VAN -2.24
The Mane Land
6
9
2
3
SEA +6
VAN +1.76
LAG -1.73
Who Scored
3
8
1
8
NYFC +6
ORL +5.93
COL -4.06
Reddit /r/MLS
9
9
2
0
HOU +2/VAN -2
COL +1.46
CLB -1.10
Soccer Info. Network
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
MON +2.14
RSL -2.40
Soccer In America
5
10
4
1
LAG +3
NYFC +2.08
VAN -1.40
MLS Fantasy Boss
5
5
5
5
SEA +5
TFC +4.09
NER -3.99
Pro Soccer Talk
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
RSL +2.66
SJE -3.28
Bleacher Report
5
8
6
1
NER -5
NYFC +2.59
VAN -2.09
Jeff Sagarin
5
4
4
7
SEA +7
RSL +3.66
COL -4.81
Squawka
4
4
4
8
NER +8
NER +9.23
POR -8.56
-
Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit /r/MLS with 9 exact and 9 within 1.
-
Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with +2 as tiebreaker) Squawka, with Who Scored and Black & Red United not far behind.
-
Furthest Off: Squawka placed NER 8 places worse than average.
-
Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing NER an average of 9.23 places worse than average.
-
Sites with Least Bias - both with bias for/against less than 2:
-
1st - Reddit /r/MLS
-
2nd - The Mane Land
-
Season Average Power Ranking
Team
2015
(run. avg)
W23 Avg
W22 Avg
W21 Avg
W20 Avg
W19 Avg
2014 Avg
2013 Avg
2012 Avg
3.39
4.67
4.22
3.84
3.63
3.38
4.04
9.36
4.39
3.99
4.66
4.63
4.64
4.90
5.30
7.09
8.78
17.17
4.58
5.25
5.37
5.48
5.68
5.87
6.77
5.14
2.46
4.82
3.96
4.02
4.08
4.21
4.25
12.15
7.29
9.33
6.04
5.99
6.06
6.11
6.25
6.11
11.07
6.38
7.23
6.71
5.15
5.25
5.34
5.43
5.50
7.40
10.41
7.87
8.62
5.92
6.05
6.19
6.53
6.87
4.45
4.45
3.09
9.09
9.71
9.75
9.67
9.93
9.89
8.97
12.89
9.46
9.43
11.34
11.21
11.10
11.37
11.30
2.94
4.52
8.40
9.83
9.82
9.83
9.90
10.18
10.26
7.47
16.85
10.96
10.30
9.90
9.83
9.73
9.67
9.33
11.50
12.35
14.84
11.21
9.81
9.92
10.00
10.30
10.55
11.34
5.73
13.89
11.72
11.11
10.94
10.72
10.65
10.57
14.44
12.34
4.86
12.25
13.03
12.93
12.90
12.97
12.93
--
--
--
12.97
14.82
14.77
14.73
15.09
15.11
--
--
--
12.93
13.20
13.34
13.37
13.64
13.53
9.48
7.74
6.29
16.80
16.86
16.79
16.74
16.93
16.66
15.61
14.27
13.07
16.93
16.89
16.87
16.83
17.22
17.24
9.66
9.79
10.06
17.33
17.91
17.86
17.78
18.07
18.06
11.33
10.53
15.70
17.74
16.45
16.67
16.96
17.46
17.55
17.67
5.32
15.74
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
11
20
11.77
19.58
Colorado Rapids
15
20
14.07
19.25
Columbus Crew SC
5
14
6.14
14.20
D.C. United
1
10
1.87
9.57
FC Dallas
1
10
1.07
9.40
Houston Dynamo
7
18
8.73
16.67
LA Galaxy
1
11
1.67
10.93
Montreal Impact
9
20
10.50
19.92
New England Revolution
3
17
3.21
16.79
New York City FC
4
20
6.29
20.00
New York Red Bulls
1
11
1.27
12.80
Orlando City
7
18
7.58
16.46
Philadelphia Union
16
20
14.83
19.69
Portland Timbers
3
17
4.23
16.57
Real Salt Lake
5
18
4.62
16.64
San Jose Earthquakes
7
19
6.80
18.73
Seattle Sounders
1
13
1.00
13.92
Sporting Kansas City
1
15
1.20
14.17
Toronto FC
3
17
3.36
16.62
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
15
1.33
13.73
