Wasatch Soccer SentinelMLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 21
Three sites (SBI, NBC & Black/Red United) published after my article, averages and rankings for Wk 20 have been adjusted accordingly. Of the 18 sites, 15 are included below.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
- Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking for Wk 21
- Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com) *No ranking for Wk 21
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 21
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- Squawka (http://www.squawka.com/football-team-rankings#performance-score#team-stats#us-major-league-soccer)
Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one, and their old ratings won't be removed.
- The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5-19-15, site offline 7-27
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 21
Wk 20
Wk 19
Wk 18
Wk 17
Team
W21 Avg
W20 Avg
W19 Avg
W18 Avg
W17 Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
3
4
7
9
Dallas
1.54
2.93
4.27
6.85
9.00
9
1
8
2
1
1
1
1
Kansas City
2.54
1.20
1.40
1.85
2.56
5
1
4
3
2
2
2
4
Los Angeles
3.69
2.20
2.87
2.92
5.81
7
1
6
4
4
3
5
2
D.C.
4.00
4.73
4.07
4.62
2.63
10
1
9
5
5
6
6
3
Vancouver
4.69
5.07
6.00
5.77
2.94
12
2
10
6
6
8
10
10
New York RB
6.31
5.87
7.53
9.77
9.13
11
2
9
7
8
9
8
7
Toronto
7.62
7.73
8.47
8.77
6.50
12
5
7
8
7
7
3
4
Portland
7.69
7.69
6.53
4.38
5.81
11
2
9
9
10
11
11
13
Columbus
8.85
8.47
12.40
9.69
12.31
11
5
6
10
9
5
4
6
Seattle
10.54
8.27
5.40
4.54
6.38
18
6
12
11
12
18
15
14
Salt Lake
11.38
12.60
16.67
14.54
14.56
16
9
7
12
16
15
17
16
Montreal
13.54
14.53
14.60
16.69
15.56
19
9
10
13
18
13
16
15
Houston
13.62
14.87
13.87
16.08
15.44
17
8
9
14
17
14
14
17
New York FC
13.69
14.73
14.33
14.15
16.19
18
7
11
15
11
10
9
8
San Jose
14.92
11.53
10.53
9.62
7.44
18
11
7
16
14
17
13
12
New England
15.00
13.33
16.27
13.62
11.94
20
10
10
17
15
19
18
20
Colorado
15.77
14.07
17.13
17.62
18.88
18
6
12
18
13
12
12
11
Orlando
16.46
13.00
12.53
11.31
11.38
20
13
7
19
19
16
18
19
Philadelphia
18.77
16.67
15.87
17.62
17.13
20
13
7
20
20
20
20
18
Chicago
19.46
18.47
18.80
19.15
18.75
20
13
7
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off
Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Major League Soccer
7
8
3
2
ORL -5
SJE +1.89
MON -1.52
Soccer by Ives
5
8
3
4
RSL +5
RSL +2.63
NER -2.44
Soccer America
4
7
4
5
MON/SJE -5
POR +2.63
SJE -2.84
ESPN
4
6
5
5
NER -5, NYFC +5
FCD +2.27
NER -3.06
Seattle Times
4
9
3
4
MON -5, NYRB +5
NYRB +2.77
NER -1.97
MLS GB
5
5
5
5
SJE -4, NYFC +4
TFC +2.89
RSL -1.51
Black & Red United
5
3
4
8
SEA +6
TFC +2.65
SJE -2.50
Sports Illustrated
3
6
5
6
HOU +5
NER +3.18
VAN -2.29
The Mane Land
4
6
3
7
SEA +8
VAN +1.81
LAG -1.79
Who Scored
1
5
4
10
NYFC -6, DCU +6
ORL +5.66
COL -4.73
Reddit /r/MLS
7
7
5
1
POR +3
COL +1.17
CLB -1.28
Soccer Info. Network
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
DCU +1.60
POR -2.35
Soccer In America
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NYFC +2.16
VAN -1.40
MLS Fantasy Boss
5
6
5
4
NER -6
TFC +4.15
NER -4.11
Pro Soccer Talk
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
RSL +2.90
SJE -2.89
Bleacher Report
4
13
0
3
NER -5
NYFC +2.87
VAN -2.01
Jeff Sagarin
2
5
6
7
COL -11
RSL +4.54
COL -5.19
Squawka
0
7
3
10
FCD +8
NER +9.10
POR -8.83
-
Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) MLS 7 exact and 8 one away; though a special mention to Bleacher Report for getting 17 teams within one!
-
Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with +2 as tiebreaker) Squawka
-
Furthest Off: Jeff Sagarin with COL 11 places better than average.
-
Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing POR an average of 9.10 places better than their average. (This is due in part to only 6 weeks of tracking, averages are improving with additional data points).
-
Sites with Least Bias - all with bias for/against less than 2:
-
1st - Reddit /r/MLS
-
2nd - The Mane Land
-
3rd - MLS
-
Season Average Power Ranking
Team
2015
(run. avg)
W21 Avg
W20 Avg
W19 Avg
W18 Avg
W17 Avg
2014 Avg
2013 Avg
2012 Avg
3.41
3.84
3.63
3.38
3.26
3.19
4.04
9.36
4.39
3.96
4.64
4.90
5.30
5.09
4.98
7.09
8.78
17.17
4.59
5.48
5.68
5.87
6.05
6.23
6.77
5.14
2.46
5.03
4.08
4.21
4.25
4.27
4.25
12.15
7.29
9.33
6.14
6.11
6.25
6.11
6.03
5.81
11.07
6.38
7.23
6.89
5.34
5.43
5.50
5.47
5.46
7.40
10.41
7.87
9.05
6.19
6.53
6.87
7.16
7.47
4.45
4.45
3.09
9.20
9.67
9.93
9.89
9.75
9.75
8.97
12.89
9.46
9.43
11.10
11.37
11.30
11.02
10.81
2.94
4.52
8.40
10.00
9.90
10.18
10.26
10.33
10.43
7.47
16.85
10.96
10.53
9.73
9.67
9.33
8.94
8.66
11.50
12.35
14.84
11.52
10.00
10.30
10.55
10.77
11.15
11.34
5.73
13.89
11.81
10.72
10.65
10.57
10.59
10.65
14.44
12.34
4.86
12.34
12.90
12.97
12.93
12.94
13.04
--
--
--
12.98
14.73
15.09
15.11
15.15
15.21
--
--
--
13.07
13.37
13.64
13.53
13.52
13.37
9.48
7.74
6.29
17.04
16.74
16.93
16.66
16.55
16.39
15.61
14.27
13.07
17.18
16.83
17.22
17.24
17.25
17.22
9.66
9.79
10.06
17.56
17.78
18.07
18.06
18.18
18.22
11.33
10.53
15.70
18.11
16.96
17.46
17.55
17.70
17.76
17.67
5.32
15.74
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
11
20
11.77
19.58
Colorado Rapids
15
20
14.07
19.25
Columbus Crew SC
5
14
6.14
14.20
D.C. United
1
10
1.87
9.57
FC Dallas
1
10
1.07
9.40
Houston Dynamo
7
18
8.73
16.67
LA Galaxy
1
11
1.67
10.93
Montreal Impact
15
20
13.54
19.92
New England Revolution
3
17
3.21
16.79
New York City FC
4
20
6.29
20.00
New York Red Bulls
1
11
1.27
12.80
Orlando City
7
16
7.58
16.46
Philadelphia Union
16
20
14.83
19.69
Portland Timbers
3
17
4.23
16.57
Real Salt Lake
5
18
4.62
16.64
San Jose Earthquakes
7
19
6.80
18.73
Seattle Sounders
1
9
1.00
10.54
Sporting Kansas City
1
15
1.20
14.17
Toronto FC
3
17
3.36
16.62
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
15
1.33
13.73
