Wasatch Soccer SentinelMLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 19
17 of the 19 sites published this week.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
- Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking for Wk 19
- Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 19
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- American Soccer Analysis (americansocceranalysis.com/power-rankings)
- Squawka (http://www.squawka.com/football-team-rankings#performance-score#team-stats#us-major-league-soccer)
Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one, and their old ratings won't be removed.
- The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5-19-15
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 19
Wk 18
Wk 17
Wk 16
Wk 15
Team
W19 Avg
W18 Avg
W17 Avg
W16 Avg
W15 Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
1
1
3
2
Kansas City
1.40
1.85
2.56
3.47
2.15
6
1
5
2
2
4
6
10
Los Angeles
2.87
2.92
5.81
6.47
9.54
7
1
6
3
5
2
2
3
D.C.
4.07
4.62
2.63
2.93
4.54
19
2
17
4
7
9
10
8
Dallas
4.27
6.85
9.00
9.13
8.23
10
2
8
5
4
6
1
1
Seattle
5.40
4.54
6.38
2.33
1.15
9
2
7
6
6
3
4
4
Vancouver
6.00
5.77
2.94
3.87
4.92
10
3
7
7
3
4
5
7
Portland
6.53
4.38
5.81
5.20
6.92
11
1
10
8
10
10
11
9
New York RB
7.53
9.77
9.13
12.60
9.08
12
2
10
9
8
7
7
5
Toronto
8.47
8.77
6.50
7.87
5.38
14
3
11
10
9
8
9
11
San Jose
10.53
9.62
7.44
8.53
10.77
20
6
14
11
11
13
13
14
Columbus
12.40
9.69
12.31
13.93
13.31
17
5
12
12
12
11
12
12
Orlando
12.53
11.31
11.38
12.67
11.69
20
10
10
13
16
15
14
13
Houston
13.87
16.08
15.44
14.07
11.85
18
7
11
14
14
17
18
17
New York FC
14.33
14.15
16.19
14.73
17.15
20
9
11
15
17
16
16
16
Montreal
14.60
16.69
15.56
14.53
17.08
18
10
8
16
18
19
20
18
Philadelphia
15.87
17.62
17.13
19.33
17.69
19
8
11
17
13
12
8
6
New England
16.27
13.62
11.94
8.13
6.00
20
9
11
18
15
14
14
15
Salt Lake
16.67
14.54
14.56
14.07
15.38
20
12
8
19
18
20
17
18
Colorado
17.13
17.62
18.88
17.67
17.69
19
12
7
20
20
18
19
20
Chicago
18.80
19.15
18.75
18.13
18.23
20
12
8
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off
Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Major League Soccer
5
10
3
2
MON -3, NER +3
SJE +1.93
MON -1.55
Soccer by Ives
7
8
4
1
NYFC -4
SJE +2.64
NER -2.49
Soccer America
4
4
6
6
MON -5
POR +2.95
SJE -2.72
ESPN
7
4
1
8
NER -7
FCD +2.12
NER -2.78
Seattle Times
8
6
4
2
CLB/PHI +3
NYRB +2.67
NER -1.94
MLS GB
6
4
5
5
LAG +5, RSL -5
TFC +3.21
RSL -1.62
Black & Red United
2
7
0
11
HOU/RSL -6
TFC +2.58
SJE -2.41
Sports Illustrated
3
6
3
8
NYFC -5
NER +3.41
VAN -2.40
The Mane Land
4
4
5
7
CLB +5
VAN +1.61
LAG -1.82
Who Scored
4
3
3
10
DCU +8
ORL +5.81
COL -4.92
Reddit /r/MLS
11
6
2
1
MON -3
COL +1.23
CLB -1.31
The Sports Network
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
DEAD LIST
DEAD LIST
Soccer Info. Network
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
DCU +1.52
POR -2.67
Soccer In America
11
5
2
2
LAG +4
NYFC +1.66
VAN -1.62
MLS Fantasy Boss
4
4
6
6
NER -8
TFC +4.00
NER -4.17
Pro Soccer Talk
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
SKC +2.93
VAN -3.30
Bleacher Report
8
5
2
5
NYFC +5
LAG +2.75
VAN -2.12
Jeff Sagarin
3
10
4
3
COL -7
RSL +5.14
SJE -4.46
Amer. Soccer Analysis
1
6
0
13
DCU +16
DCU +15.46
TFC -8.69
Squawka
1
5
3
11
CHI -8
NER +8.92
POR -9.55
-
Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit /r/ MLS narrowly beats out Soccer In America.
-
Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with +2 as tiebreaker) American Soccer Analysis yet again
-
Furthest Off: American Soccer Analysis with DCU 16 places higher than average.
-
Site with Worst Bias: American Soccer Analysis for placing DCU an average of 15.46 places worse than their average. Due to their practice of using past season results for trends, it would seem that DCU's ranking isn't likely to improve greatly - they did move up 0.10 this week!
-
Sites with Least Bias - all with bias for/against less than 2:
-
1st - Reddit /r/MLS
-
2nd - Soccer In America
-
3rd - The Mane Land
-
4th - MLS
-
Season Average Power Ranking
Team
2015
(run. avg)
W19 Avg
W18 Avg
W17 Avg
W16 Avg
W15 Avg
2014 Avg
2013 Avg
2012 Avg
3.45
3.38
3.26
3.19
2.99
3.05
4.04
9.36
4.39
3.87
5.30
5.09
4.98
4.74
4.48
7.09
8.78
17.17
4.50
5.87
6.05
6.23
6.25
6.24
6.77
5.14
2.46
5.16
4.25
4.27
4.25
4.35
4.52
12.15
7.29
9.33
6.10
6.11
6.03
5.81
5.61
5.15
11.07
6.38
7.23
7.06
5.50
5.47
5.46
5.62
5.77
7.40
10.41
7.87
9.16
9.89
9.75
9.75
9.59
9.30
8.97
12.89
9.46
9.37
11.30
11.02
10.81
10.58
10.37
2.94
4.52
8.40
9.38
6.87
7.16
7.47
7.79
8.06
4.45
4.45
3.09
9.99
10.26
10.33
10.43
10.68
10.82
7.47
16.85
10.96
10.81
9.33
8.94
8.66
8.45
8.48
11.50
12.35
14.84
11.74
10.55
10.77
11.15
11.48
11.85
11.34
5.73
13.89
11.83
10.57
10.59
10.65
10.85
10.96
14.44
12.34
4.86
12.11
12.93
12.94
13.04
13.14
13.15
--
--
--
12.72
15.11
15.15
15.21
15.14
15.17
--
--
--
12.94
13.53
13.52
13.37
13.25
13.19
9.48
7.74
6.29
17.07
16.66
16.55
16.39
16.24
16.11
15.61
14.27
13.07
17.12
17.24
17.25
17.22
17.12
17.08
9.66
9.79
10.06
17.46
18.06
18.18
18.22
18.28
18.17
11.33
10.53
15.70
18.16
17.55
17.70
17.76
17.90
18.11
17.67
5.32
15.74
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
11
20
11.77
19.93
Colorado Rapids
15
19
15.29
19.17
Columbus Crew SC
5
14
6.38
13.31
D.C. United
1
10
2.21
10.40
FC Dallas
1
10
1.13
9.13
Houston Dynamo
7
17
8.38
16.67
LA Galaxy
1
11
1.69
10.79
Montreal Impact
15
20
14.53
19.92
New England Revolution
3
17
3.21
15.69
New York City FC
4
20
6.69
20.00
New York Red Bulls
1
11
1.38
12.60
Orlando City
7
16
7.31
16.00
Philadelphia Union
16
20
14.62
19.69
Portland Timbers
3
17
4.38
16.57
Real Salt Lake
5
18
4.69
16.67
San Jose Earthquakes
7
19
7.33
18.23
Seattle Sounders
1
6
1.06
6.31
Sporting Kansas City
1
15
1.85
14.53
Toronto FC
3
17
3.31
17.27
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
15
1.33
13.85
