Wasatch Soccer SentinelMLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 12
One new site by request - the Jeff Sagarin's pure ELO rankings have been added, and the averages have been adjusted for Wk 11 which resolved all of the previous ties. Earlier weeks are not accessible. Out of the 18 current sites, 16 are included below.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
- Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking for Wk 12
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)
- Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 12
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
Dead Lists:
- Playing for 90 (playingfor90.com) - Published once
- Examiner (examiner.com/topic/power-rankings) - Published 3 times
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 12
Wk 11
Wk 10
Wk 9
Wk 8
Team
W12 Avg
W11 Avg
W10 Avg
W9 Avg
W8 Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
1
5
1
2
Seattle
1.36
1.53
4.00
1.50
3.00
5
1
4
2
4
1
2
3
D.C.
2.57
4.07
2.86
2.21
3.54
6
1
5
3
3
3
5
7
Dallas
3.64
3.40
3.36
5.21
7.15
5
2
3
4
2
2
4
1
New York RB
4.79
2.53
3.21
4.64
1.69
9
1
8
5
5
4
3
6
New England
4.86
4.27
3.93
3.21
5.38
10
2
8
6
9
9
8
9
Kansas City
5.93
8.47
9.29
8.71
10.00
10
3
7
7
6
6
6
4
Vancouver
7.64
6.07
4.43
5.64
4.38
12
4
8
8
7
11
12
12
San Jose
8.21
7.87
11.00
11.93
12.46
12
4
8
9
8
7
8
7
Columbus
9.14
8.13
7.14
8.71
7.15
12
5
7
10
11
8
7
5
Los Angeles
9.43
10.93
8.29
6.14
4.54
14
2
12
11
12
14
11
15
Toronto
10.71
12.60
13.79
11.36
14.15
16
7
9
12
13
10
10
10
Salt Lake
11.57
13.07
10.14
11.21
10.62
16
6
10
13
10
13
15
13
Houston
12.79
10.87
13.21
15.29
12.85
18
9
9
14
14
16
16
16
Orlando
14.50
13.80
16.00
15.67
15.77
19
12
7
15
17
17
17
17
Colorado
15.29
16.60
16.07
15.71
17.00
18
9
9
16
18
19
19
20
Montreal
16.43
17.40
19.07
19.29
19.54
19
12
7
17
15
12
13
147
Portland
16.57
14.07
11.79
12.86
13.00
19
10
9
18
16
15
14
11
Chicago
16.71
15.73
14.93
13.14
11.77
19
12
7
19
20
20
19
19
Philadelphia
18.36
19.40
19.50
19.29
19.15
20
15
5
20
19
18
18
18
New York FC
20.00
19.13
18.29
18.21
17.54
20
17
3
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3 off
4 off
Furthest off
Team bias vs
Team bias for
Major League Soccer
5
11
1
3
0
DCU +3, LAG/SKC -3
SJE +2.35
CLB -1.82
Soccer by Ives
5
8
5
2
0
LAG +3, SJE -3
SJE +3.66
NER -3.30
Soccer America
11
4
2
2
1
SJE -4
CLB +2.48
HOU -2.15
ESPN
3
9
4
3
1
LAG +4
NYC +2.11
NER -2.07
Seattle Times
4
10
4
2
0
COL +3, NER -3
NYRB +3.38
TFC -3.09
MLS GB
6
6
3
3
2
TFC +5
TFC +2.45
COL -1.58
Black & Red United
4
6
4
3
3
CHI -6
CLB +1.91
SJE -2.29
Sports Illustrated
3
9
2
5
1
RSL -6
SKC +3.23
ORL -2.48
The Mane Land
6
5
2
4
3
VAN +5
SKC +2.23
LAG -2.81
Who Scored
1
2
1
7
9
COL -6
ORL +5.60
COL -5.89
Reddit /r/MLS
15
3
1
1
0
CHI -3
COL +1.28
CLB -1.84
The Sports Network
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
TFC +3.44
SJE -3.46
Soccer Information Network
6
5
5
3
1
POR -4
DCU +2.05
POR -4.35
Soccer In America
11
3
3
3
0
CLB/SJE +3, RSL -3
TFC +1.96
NYRB -2.09
MLS Fantasy Boss
3
3
8
2
4
LAG -8
SJE +4.29
POR -5.52
NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
SKC +5.48
VAN -3.52
Bleacher Report
5
7
5
3
0
LAG/NER+3, SKC -3
LAG +4.44
NER -4.55
Jeff Sagarin
6
4
2
4
4
NER/RSL+4, COL/TFC -4
LAG +7.44
COL -5.89
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit /r/MLS
- Least Accurate Site: (most 4+ with +3 as tiebreaker) Who Scored
- Furthest Off: MLS Fantasy Boss with LAG eight places higher than average.
- Site with Worst Bias: Jeff Sagarin's Rankings for placing the L.A. Galaxy an average of 7.44 places better than their average. This is based on only 2 weeks, thus it should be reduced as more ratings are made.
- Site with Least Bias: Reddit /r/MLS which has both for/against less than 2 places from average.
Season Average Power Ranking
Team
2015
(run. avg)
W12 Avg
W11 Avg
W10 Avg
W9 Avg
W8 Avg
2014 Avg
2013 Avg
2012 Avg
3.44
3.85
3.87
3.91
3.98
3.82
4.04
9.36
4.39
3.59
3.57
3.73
3.93
3.94
4.25
4.04
9.36
4.39
3.60
5.56
5.19
4.60
4.21
3.97
6.77
5.14
2.46
5.60
4.70
4.88
4.97
5.19
5.56
12.15
17.29
9.33
6.48
4.39
4.36
4.54
4.69
4.69
11.07
6.38
7.23
7.89
5.85
5.68
5.66
5.78
5.79
7.40
10.41
7.87
8.70
9.29
9.03
8.63
8.46
8.12
2.94
4.52
8.40
9.00
8.67
8.60
8.66
8.81
5.56
8.97
12.89
9.46
9.53
11.94
12.04
11.99
11.78
11.84
7.47
16.85
10.96
10.28
9.52
9.81
9.95
10.02
10.19
4.45
4.45
3.09
11.35
14.20
13.72
13.18
12.61
11.91
N/A
N/A
N/A
11.53
12.98
12.90
12.81
12.46
12.06
N/A
N/A
N/A
11.93
12.77
12.38
12.19
12.25
12.18
11.34
5.73
13.89
12.01
9.22
9.53
10.05
10.74
11.68
11.50
12.35
14.84
12.44
10.96
11.27
11.64
11.68
11.65
14.44
12.34
4.86
12.69
13.30
13.39
13.66
13.70
13.50
9.48
7.74
6.29
17.03
18.14
18.17
18.04
17.88
17.71
11.33
10.53
15.70
17.11
16.89
17.08
17.14
17.25
17.44
9.66
9.79
10.06
17.54
16.02
15.95
15.95
16.09
16.45
15.61
14.27
13.07
18.28
18.40
18.59
18.71
18.67
18.59
17.67
5.32
15.74
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
11
20
11.77
19.93
Colorado Rapids
15
19
15.29
19.17
Columbus Crew SC
5
12
6.38
11.38
D.C. United
1
10
2.21
10.40
FC Dallas
1
7
1.13
7.15
Houston Dynamo
7
17
8.38
16.67
LA Galaxy
1
11
1.69
10.79
Montreal Impact
16
20
16.43
19.92
New England Revolution
3
17
3.21
15.69
New York City FC
4
20
6.69
20.00
New York Red Bulls
1
11
1.38
11.15
Orlando City
7
16
7.31
16.00
Philadelphia Union
16
20
14.62
19.69
Portland Timbers
10
17
10.83
16.57
Real Salt Lake
5
13
4.69
13.07
San Jose Earthquakes
7
19
7.33
18.23
Seattle Sounders
1
6
1.23
6.31
Sporting Kansas City
6
15
5.93
14.53
Toronto FC
3
17
3.31
17.27
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
15
1.33
13.85
