MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 4
Seattle Times blog caught back up this week. Wk 3 averages and standings retroactively updated.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
- Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- Examiner (examiner.com/topic/power-rankings) *No ranking for Wk 4
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Playing for 90 (playingfor90.com) *No ranking for Wk 2-4
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com)
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 4
Wk 3
Wk 2
Wk 1
Team
W4 Avg
W3 Avg
W2 Avg
W1 Avg
Worst
Best
Range
1
1
1
4
Dallas
1.09
1.08
1.75
5.00
2
1
1
2
4
13
9
New York RB
2.91
6.38
11.75
10.50
7
1
6
3
5
11
15
Vancouver
3.36
6.62
11.25
13.92
12
1
11
4
2
1
2
Los Angeles
4.73
2.62
1.75
1.83
9
2
7
5
3
3
1
Seattle
5.45
4.31
4.08
1.17
10
3
7
6
10
4
4
D.C.
5.91
10.54
4.92
5.00
10
3
7
7
11
9
8
Salt Lake
7.45
10.77
10.17
8.92
13
3
10
8
7
10
19
San Jose
9.18
7.23
11.33
18.25
14
4
10
9
6
5
10
Columbus
9.55
6.69
6.00
11.17
15
7
8
10
15
15
6
Kansas City
9.82
14.62
14.58
7.58
15
4
11
11
8
6
14
New York FC
10.27
6.77
6.50
12.58
14
6
8
12
9
8
3
Toronto
11.18
7.77
7.58
3.08
15
4
11
13
12
7
12
Orlando
11.73
11.15
7.08
11.50
18
7
11
14
19
17
12
New England
14.27
17.38
16.33
11.50
20
11
9
15
14
14
7
Houston
14.91
12.54
14.17
7.92
17
11
6
16
13
11
10
Portland
15.00
12.38
11.25
11.17
19
9
10
17
18
19
18
Montreal
17.55
17.46
18.33
17.58
20
14
6
18
20
20
20
Chicago
17.64
19.92
19.67
19.33
19
14
5
19
16
18
17
Colorado
17.82
17.08
17.17
16.08
20
11
9
20
16
16
16
Philadelphia
19.82
17.08
14.67
15.50
20
17
3
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated.
Site
Exact
1 off
2 off
3 off
4 off
5+ off
Team(s) furthest off
Major League Soccer
7
4
6
2
0
1
SJE +5
Soccer by Ives
5
8
3
1
1
2
RSL, SJE +6
Soccer America
7
4
4
2
1
2
CLB +6
ESPN
6
1
11
2
0
0
POR +3, TFC -3
Seattle Times
7
8
1
0
1
3
TFC -8
MLS GB
6
6
4
3
1
0
ORL -4
Black & Red United
5
7
4
0
1
3
RSL +6
Sports Illustrated
4
9
3
1
1
2
ORL -6
Examiner
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
The Mane Land
4
10
3
2
0
1
VAN +5
Who Scored
1
8
1
3
0
7
VAN +9
Playing for 90
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
Reddit /r/MLS
8
8
3
0
1
0
TFC -4
The Sports Network
6
3
5
3
2
1
LAG +5
Soccer Information Network
4
2
1
8
4
1
POR -6
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit/r/MLS
- Least Accurate Site: (most 5+ with +4 as tiebreaker) Who Scored
- Furthest Off: Who Scored placed Vancouver 9 positions higher than average.
Season Average Power Ranking
Team
2015
(run. avg)
W4 Avg
W3 Avg
W2 Avg
W1 Avg
2014 Avg
2013 Avg
2012 Avg
Los Angeles
2.11
2.73
2.08
1.79
1.83
6.77
5.14
2.46
Seattle
2.69
3.75
3.19
2.63
1.17
4.04
9.36
4.39
Dallas
3.31
2.23
2.61
3.38
5.00
7.09
8.78
17.17
Toronto
5.51
7.40
6.22
5.33
3.08
7.47
16.85
10.96
D.C.
5.85
6.59
6.86
4.96
5.00
12.15
17.29
9.33
Columbus
9.04
8.35
8.06
8.59
11.17
8.97
12.89
9.46
Salt Lake
9.42
9.33
9.89
9.55
8.92
2.94
4.52
8.40
New York RB
9.73
7.89
9.39
11.13
10.50
11.07
6.38
7.23
New York FC
9.95
9.03
8.64
9.54
12.58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Orlando
10.29
10.37
10.00
9.29
11.50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kansas City
10.64
11.65
12.25
11.08
7.58
4.45
4.45
3.09
Houston
10.70
12.39
11.42
11.05
7.92
9.48
7.74
6.29
Vancouver
11.47
8.79
10.58
12.59
13.92
7.40
10.41
7.87
Portland
11.62
12.45
11.64
11.21
11.17
11.34
5.73
13.89
New England
13.89
14.87
15.28
13.92
11.50
11.50
12.35
14.84
San Jose
14.16
11.50
12.08
14.79
18.25
14.44
12.34
4.86
Philadelphia
15.77
16.77
15.70
15.09
15.50
11.33
10.53
15.70
Colorado
16.62
17.04
16.72
16.63
16.08
9.66
9.79
10.06
Montreal
17.78
17.73
17.83
17.96
17.58
17.67
5.32
15.74
Chicago
19.40
19.14
19.64
19.50
19.33
15.61
14.27
13.07
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
18
20
17.64
19.92
16
19
16.08
17.82
Columbus Crew
5
10
6.00
11.17
4
11
4.92
10.67
1
4
1.08
5.00
7
15
7.92
14.91
1
4
1.75
4.73
17
19
17.46
18.33
12
19
11.50
17.38
6
14
6.50
12.58
2
13
2.91
11.75
Orlando SC
7
13
7.08
11.73
16
20
14.67
19.82
10
15
11.17
15.00
7
10
7.45
10.77
6
19
7.23
18.25
1
5
1.17
5.45
6
15
7.58
14.62
3
12
3.08
11.18
3
15
3.36
13.92

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