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Original publish date: April 2, 2015

Week 4 MLS Power Ranking Averages - Dallas easily on top

13 of 15 sites published week 4 rankings. Kansas City & New England rise most, Toronto & Philadelphia fall most.

MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 4

Seattle Times blog caught back up this week. Wk 3 averages and standings retroactively updated.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
  • Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
  • Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
  • Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
  • Examiner (examiner.com/topic/power-rankings) *No ranking for Wk 4
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
  • Playing for 90 (playingfor90.com) *No ranking for Wk 2-4
  • Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com)
  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 4

Wk 3

Wk 2

Wk 1

Team

W4 Avg

W3 Avg

W2 Avg

W1 Avg

Worst

Best

Range

1

1

1

4

Dallas

1.09

1.08

1.75

5.00

2

1

1

2

4

13

9

New York RB

2.91

6.38

11.75

10.50

7

1

6

3

5

11

15

Vancouver

3.36

6.62

11.25

13.92

12

1

11

4

2

1

2

Los Angeles

4.73

2.62

1.75

1.83

9

2

7

5

3

3

1

Seattle

5.45

4.31

4.08

1.17

10

3

7

6

10

4

4

D.C.

5.91

10.54

4.92

5.00

10

3

7

7

11

9

8

Salt Lake

7.45

10.77

10.17

8.92

13

3

10

8

7

10

19

San Jose

9.18

7.23

11.33

18.25

14

4

10

9

6

5

10

Columbus

9.55

6.69

6.00

11.17

15

7

8

10

15

15

6

Kansas City

9.82

14.62

14.58

7.58

15

4

11

11

8

6

14

New York FC

10.27

6.77

6.50

12.58

14

6

8

12

9

8

3

Toronto

11.18

7.77

7.58

3.08

15

4

11

13

12

7

12

Orlando

11.73

11.15

7.08

11.50

18

7

11

14

19

17

12

New England

14.27

17.38

16.33

11.50

20

11

9

15

14

14

7

Houston

14.91

12.54

14.17

7.92

17

11

6

16

13

11

10

Portland

15.00

12.38

11.25

11.17

19

9

10

17

18

19

18

Montreal

17.55

17.46

18.33

17.58

20

14

6

18

20

20

20

Chicago

17.64

19.92

19.67

19.33

19

14

5

19

16

18

17

Colorado

17.82

17.08

17.17

16.08

20

11

9

20

16

16

16

Philadelphia

19.82

17.08

14.67

15.50

20

17

3


Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated.

Site

Exact

1 off

2 off

3 off

4 off

5+ off

Team(s) furthest off

Major League Soccer

7

4

6

2

0

1

SJE +5

Soccer by Ives

5

8

3

1

1

2

RSL, SJE +6

Soccer America

7

4

4

2

1

2

CLB +6

ESPN

6

1

11

2

0

0

POR +3, TFC -3

Seattle Times

7

8

1

0

1

3

TFC -8

MLS GB

6

6

4

3

1

0

ORL -4

Black & Red United

5

7

4

0

1

3

RSL +6

Sports Illustrated

4

9

3

1

1

2

ORL -6

Examiner

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

The Mane Land

4

10

3

2

0

1

VAN +5

Who Scored

1

8

1

3

0

7

VAN +9

Playing for 90

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

Reddit /r/MLS

8

8

3

0

1

0

TFC -4

The Sports Network

6

3

5

3

2

1

LAG +5

Soccer Information Network

4

2

1

8

4

1

POR -6

  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit/r/MLS
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 5+ with +4 as tiebreaker) Who Scored
  • Furthest Off: Who Scored placed Vancouver 9 positions higher than average.

Season Average Power Ranking

Team

2015

(run. avg)

W4 Avg

W3 Avg

W2 Avg

W1 Avg

2014 Avg

2013 Avg

2012 Avg

Los Angeles

2.11

2.73

2.08

1.79

1.83

6.77

5.14

2.46

Seattle

2.69

3.75

3.19

2.63

1.17

4.04

9.36

4.39

Dallas

3.31

2.23

2.61

3.38

5.00

7.09

8.78

17.17

Toronto

5.51

7.40

6.22

5.33

3.08

7.47

16.85

10.96

D.C.

5.85

6.59

6.86

4.96

5.00

12.15

17.29

9.33

Columbus

9.04

8.35

8.06

8.59

11.17

8.97

12.89

9.46

Salt Lake

9.42

9.33

9.89

9.55

8.92

2.94

4.52

8.40

New York RB

9.73

7.89

9.39

11.13

10.50

11.07

6.38

7.23

New York FC

9.95

9.03

8.64

9.54

12.58

N/A

N/A

N/A

Orlando

10.29

10.37

10.00

9.29

11.50

N/A

N/A

N/A

Kansas City

10.64

11.65

12.25

11.08

7.58

4.45

4.45

3.09

Houston

10.70

12.39

11.42

11.05

7.92

9.48

7.74

6.29

Vancouver

11.47

8.79

10.58

12.59

13.92

7.40

10.41

7.87

Portland

11.62

12.45

11.64

11.21

11.17

11.34

5.73

13.89

New England

13.89

14.87

15.28

13.92

11.50

11.50

12.35

14.84

San Jose

14.16

11.50

12.08

14.79

18.25

14.44

12.34

4.86

Philadelphia

15.77

16.77

15.70

15.09

15.50

11.33

10.53

15.70

Colorado

16.62

17.04

16.72

16.63

16.08

9.66

9.79

10.06

Montreal

17.78

17.73

17.83

17.96

17.58

17.67

5.32

15.74

Chicago

19.40

19.14

19.64

19.50

19.33

15.61

14.27

13.07


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team

Weekly
Best

Weekly
Worst

Best
Wk. Avg.

Worst
Wk. Avg.

Chicago Fire

18

20

17.64

19.92

Colorado Rapids

16

19

16.08

17.82

Columbus Crew

5

10

6.00

11.17

D.C. United

4

11

4.92

10.67

FC Dallas

1

4

1.08

5.00

Houston Dynamo

7

15

7.92

14.91

LA Galaxy

1

4

1.75

4.73

Montreal Impact

17

19

17.46

18.33

New England Revolution

12

19

11.50

17.38

New York City FC

6

14

6.50

12.58

New York Red Bulls

2

13

2.91

11.75

Orlando SC

7

13

7.08

11.73

Philadelphia Union

16

20

14.67

19.82

Portland Timbers

10

15

11.17

15.00

Real Salt Lake

7

10

7.45

10.77

San Jose Earthquakes

6

19

7.23

18.25

Seattle Sounders

1

5

1.17

5.45

Sporting Kansas City

6

15

7.58

14.62

Toronto FC

3

12

3.08

11.18

Vancouver Whitecaps

3

15

3.36

13.92