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Original publish date: March 26, 2015

MLS Power Ranking Week 3 - FC Dallas takes control

14 out of 16 sites published this week. Undefeated FC Dallas rises to the top, D.C.United crashes out of top 10.

MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 3

One more site added for Week 3! Soccer Information Network's MLS Power Rankings (incidentally one of, if not the longest running MLS Power Ranking dating back to '96) has been included, and their rankings have affected some of the Wk 2 standings.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
  • Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
  • Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz) *No ranking for Wk 3
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
  • Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
  • Examiner (examiner.com/topic/power-rankings)
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
  • Playing for 90 (playingfor90.com) *No ranking for Wk 2-3
  • Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com)
  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 3

Wk 2

Wk 1

Team

W3 Avg

W2 Avg

W1 Avg

2014 Avg

Worst

Best

Range

1

1

4

Dallas

1.08

1.75

5.00

7.09

3

1

2

2

1

2

Los Angeles

2.67

1.75

1.83

6.77

5

1

4

3

3

1

Seattle

4.33

4.08

1.17

4.04

8

2

6

4

13

9

New York RB

5.92

11.75

10.50

11.07

12

2

10

5

11

15

Vancouver

6.58

11.25

13.92

7.40

14

2

12

6

10

19

San Jose

6.67

11.33

18.25

14.44

14

2

12

7

6

14

New York FC

6.83

6.50

12.58

N/A

10

3

7

8

5

10

Columbus

7.00

6.00

11.17

8.97

12

3

9

9

8

3

Toronto

8.00

7.58

3.08

7.47

15

4

11

10

9

8

Salt Lake

10.58

10.17

8.92

2.94

15

5

10

11

4

4

D.C.

10.67

4.92

5.00

12.15

14

6

8

12

7

12

Orlando

11.42

7.08

11.50

N/A

18

6

12

13

14

7

Houston

12.17

14.17

7.92

9.48

17

8

9

14

11

10

Portland

12.50

11.25

11.17

11.34

14

7

7

15

15

6

Kansas City

14.58

14.58

7.58

4.45

17

11

6

16

16

16

Philadelphia

16.92

14.67

15.50

11.33

19

15

4

16

18

17

Colorado

16.92

17.17

16.08

9.66

19

9

10

18

19

18

Montreal

17.58

18.33

17.58

17.67

20

15

5

19

17

12

New England

18.00

16.33

11.50

11.50

20

10

10

20

20

20

Chicago

19.92

19.67

19.33

15.61

20

18

2


Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated.

Site

Exact

1 off

2 off

3 off

4 off

5+ off

Team(s) furthest off

Major League Soccer

5

3

4

8

0

0

8 @ +/- 3 positions

Soccer by Ives

5

3

3

3

4

2

NER -9

Soccer America

4

7

2

1

3

3

DCU, SEA, VAN +/- 5 positions

ESPN

7

3

3

3

0

4

VAN +6

Seattle Times

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

MLS GB

9

4

5

1

1

0

HOU -4

Black & Red United

4

6

4

3

0

3

ORL -6

Sports Illustrated

4

8

3

2

0

3

NYRB +8

Examiner

7

5

5

1

1

1

SEA +5

The Mane Land

5

10

0

1

2

2

VAN, SJE +/- 5 positions

Who Scored

2

5

2

5

2

4

VAN +9

Playing for 90

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

Reddit /r/MLS

9

2

3

5

1

0

CLB -4

The Sports Network

7

2

6

3

2

0

SEA, SJE +/- 4 positions

Soccer Information Network

7

3

3

2

1

4

POR -7

  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) MLS GB
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 5+ with +4 as tiebreaker) Who Scored
  • Furthest Off: Soccer by Ives and Who Scored both placed Vancouver +/- 9 positions from average

Season Average Power Ranking

Team

W3 Avg

W2 Avg

W1 Avg

2015
(run. avg)

2014 Avg

2013 Avg

2012 Avg

Los Angeles

2.08

1.79

1.83

1.90

6.77

5.14

2.46

Dallas

2.61

3.38

5.00

3.66

7.09

8.78

17.17

Seattle

3.19

2.63

1.17

2.33

4.04

9.36

4.39

Toronto

6.22

5.33

3.08

4.88

7.47

16.85

10.96

D.C.

6.86

4.96

5.00

5.61

12.15

17.29

9.33

Columbus

8.06

8.59

11.17

9.27

8.97

12.89

9.46

New York FC

8.64

9.54

12.58

10.25

N/A

N/A

N/A

New York RB

9.39

11.13

10.50

10.34

11.07

6.38

7.23

Salt Lake

9.89

9.55

8.92

9.45

2.94

4.52

8.40

Orlando

10.00

9.29

11.50

10.26

N/A

N/A

N/A

Vancouver

10.58

12.59

13.92

12.36

7.40

10.41

7.87

Houston

11.42

11.05

7.92

10.13

9.48

7.74

6.29

Portland

11.64

11.21

11.17

11.34

11.34

5.73

13.89

San Jose

12.08

14.79

18.25

15.04

14.44

12.34

4.86

Kansas City

12.25

11.08

7.58

10.30

4.45

4.45

3.09

New England

15.28

13.92

11.50

13.57

11.50

12.35

14.84

Philadelphia

15.70

15.09

15.50

15.43

11.33

10.53

15.70

Colorado

16.72

16.63

16.08

16.48

9.66

9.79

10.06

Montreal

17.83

17.96

17.58

17.79

17.67

5.32

15.74

Chicago

19.64

19.50

19.33

19.49

15.61

14.27

13.07


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team

Weekly
Best

Weekly
Worst

Best
Wk. Avg.

Worst
Wk. Avg.

Chicago Fire

20

20

19.67

19.92

Colorado Rapids

16

18

16.08

17.17

Columbus Crew

5

10

6.00

11.17

D.C. United

4

11

4.92

10.67

FC Dallas

1

4

1.08

5.00

Houston Dynamo

7

14

7.92

14.17

LA Galaxy

1

2

1.75

2.67

Montreal Impact

18

19

18.33

17.58

New England Revolution

12

19

11.50

18.00

New York City FC

6

14

6.50

12.58

New York Red Bulls

4

13

5.92

11.75

Orlando SC

7

12

7.08

11.50

Philadelphia Union

16

16

14.67

16.92

Portland Timbers

10

14

11.17

12.50

Real Salt Lake

8

10

8.92

10.58

San Jose Earthquakes

6

19

6.67

18.25

Seattle Sounders

1

3

1.17

4.33

Sporting Kansas City

6

15

7.58

14.58

Toronto FC

3

9

3.08

8.00

Vancouver Whitecaps

5

15

6.58

13.92