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Original publish date: March 19, 2015

MLS Week 2 Power Ranking Averages - LA edges Dallas for 1st

Two new sites added for Wk 2, and started listing the most and least accurate sites.

MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 2

Two sites added for Week 2! The Redditors on r/MLS have started their own 'power ranking average' with 20 members (one fan from each team) submitting rankings and an average taken for a final list. Weeks 1-2 have been included so totals for Wk1 have been slightly adjusted. The second is The Sports Network, which started their rankings this week after skipping Wk1.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14

Sites Used:

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 2

Wk 1

Team

W2 Avg

W1 Avg

2014 Avg

Worst

Best

Range

1

2

Los Angeles

1.55

1.64

6.77

3

1

2

2

4

Dallas

1.73

4.64

7.09

6

1

5

3

1

Seattle

3.73

1.09

4.04

8

2

6

4

4

D.C.

4.55

4.64

12.15

11

1

10

5

12

Columbus

5.46

10.45

8.97

11

2

9

6

13

New York FC

6.00

11.50

N/A

11

3

8

7

10

Orlando

6.27

10.18

N/A

18

3

15

8

3

Toronto

6.73

2.82

7.47

12

5

7

9

8

Salt Lake

9.27

8.46

2.94

14

8

6

10

9

New York RB

10.18

9.18

11.07

16

4

12

11

18

San Jose

10.36

16.55

14.44

16

5

11

11

14

Vancouver

10.36

12.73

7.40

15

5

10

13

12

Portland

10.73

10.45

11.34

16

8

8

14

7

Houston

12.64

7.18

9.48

17

10

7

15

15

Philadelphia

13.27

13.82

11.33

17

12

5

16

6

Kansas City

13.73

6.91

4.45

18

11

7

17

11

New England

14.73

10.36

11.50

20

7

13

18

16

Colorado

15.27

14.27

9.66

20

9

11

19

17

Montreal

16.64

15.91

17.67

19

14

5

20

19

Chicago

18.00

17.73

15.61

20

18

2


Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated.

Site

Exact

1 off

2 off

3 off

4 off

5+ off

Team(s) furthest off

Major League Soccer

4

8

3

3

0

2

NYCFC -5, VAN +5

Soccer by Ives

4

6

4

4

0

2

NER +10

Soccer America

6

4

5

1

1

3

CLB -6

ESPN

3

8

1

6

1

1

SJE +5

Seattle Times

4

5

2

5

2

2

NER +9

MLS GB

3

6

5

3

1

2

CLB -5, SJE +5

Black & Red United

4

6

3

1

2

4

NER +5, RSL -5, SJE -5, SKC +5

Sports Illustrated

2

4

7

2

3

2

VAN +6

Examiner

2

6

5

1

3

2

SJE +6

The Mane Land

7

5

4

2

2

0

COL +4, FCD -4

Who Scored

2

4

6

2

2

4

ORL -11

Playing for 90

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

Reddit /r/MLS

3

8

2

5

2

0

NYRB -4, POR +4

The Sports Network

1

7

3

4

2

3

DCU -7

  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) The Mane Land
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 5+) Black & Red United and Who Scored each with 4
  • Furthest Off: Who Scored placed Orlando 11 places lower than average.

Season Average Power Ranking

Wk 2

Wk 1

Team

W2 Avg

W1 Avg

2015 Avg

2014 Avg

2013 Avg

2012 Avg

1

2

Los Angeles

1.59

1.80

1.70

6.77

5.14

2.46

2

1

Seattle

2.41

1.20

1.81

4.04

9.36

4.39

3

4

Dallas

3.18

5.10

4.14

7.09

8.78

17.17

4

4

D.C.

4.59

5.10

4.85

12.15

17.29

9.33

5

3

Toronto

4.77

3.10

3.94

7.47

16.85

10.96

6

12

Columbus

7.95

11.50

9.73

8.97

12.89

9.46

7

10

Orlando

8.23

11.20

9.72

N/A

N/A

N/A

8

14

New York FC

8.77

12.70

10.74

N/A

N/A

N/A

9

8

Salt Lake

8.86

9.30

9.08

2.94

4.52

8.40

10

9

New York RB

9.68

10.10

9.89

11.07

6.38

7.23

11

7

Houston

9.91

7.90

8.91

9.48

7.74

6.29

12

6

Kansas City

10.32

7.60

8.96

4.45

4.45

3.09

13

12

Portland

10.59

11.50

11.05

11.34

5.73

13.89

14

15

Vancouver

11.55

14.00

12.78

7.40

10.41

7.87

15

11

New England

12.55

11.40

11.98

11.50

12.35

14.84

16

19

San Jose

13.45

18.20

15.83

14.44

12.34

4.86

17

16

Philadelphia

13.55

15.20

14.38

11.33

10.53

15.70

18

17

Colorado

14.77

15.70

15.24

9.66

9.79

10.06

19

18

Montreal

16.27

17.50

16.89

17.67

5.32

15.74

20

20

Chicago

17.86

19.50

18.68

15.61

14.27

13.07


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly and season position, avg rank total for weekly and season.

Team

Weekly
Worst

Weekly
Best

Highest
Wk. Avg.

Lowest
Wk. Avg.

Season
Best

Season
Worst

Highest
Seas. Avg

Lowest
Seas. Avg

Chicago Fire

20

19

17.73

18.00

20

20

17.86

19.50

Colorado Rapids

18

16

15.27

14.27

17

18

14.77

15.70

Columbus Crew

12

5

10.45

5.46

6

12

7.95

11.50

D.C. United

4

4

4.64

4.55

4

4

4.59

5.10

FC Dallas

4

2

4.64

1.73

3

4

3.18

5.10

Houston Dynamo

14

7

12.64

7.18

7

11

9.91

7.90

LA Galaxy

2

1

1.64

1.55

1

2

1.59

1.80

Montreal Impact

19

17

16.64

15.91

18

19

16.27

17.50

New England Revolution

17

11

14.73

10.36

11

15

11.40

12.55

New York City FC

13

6

11.55

6.00

8

14

8.77

12.70

New York Red Bulls

10

9

10.18

9.18

9

10

9.68

10.10

Orlando SC

10

7

10.18

6.27

7

10

8.23

11.20

Philadelphia Union

15

15

13.82

13.27

16

17

13.55

15.20

Portland Timbers

13

12

10.73

10.45

12

13

10.59

11.50

Real Salt Lake

9

8

9.27

8.46

8

9

8.86

9.30

San Jose Earthquakes

18

11

16.55

10.36

16

19

13.45

18.20

Seattle Sounders

3

1

3.73

1.09

1

2

1.20

2.41

Sporting Kansas City

16

6

13.73

6.91

6

12

7.60

10.32

Toronto FC

8

3

6.73

2.82

3

5

3.10

4.77

Vancouver Whitecaps

14

11

12.73

10.36

14

15

11.55

14.00